Blistering Heat from South to West; Soggy Conditions in the East

Intense heat continues to bake much of the southern states. A weakening monsoonal pattern and shifting high pressure will allow temperatures to warm into the 90s to 100 in the Pacific Northwest, with widespread temperatures above 110 degrees in the Southwest. Ample moisture and a stalled frontal system will bring additional heavy rain across the east, which may result in localized flash flooding.
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Last Update: 302 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

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Tampa Bay, FL Local Forecast Office

11NM WNW Captiva FL

Marine Zone Forecast

...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION...

Synopsis: A trough of low pressure to the north and a ridge of high pressure to the south will combine to produce strong to severe storms in our northern waters this afternoon and evening. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River out to 20nm. We will also have increasingly westerly winds today...with Small Craft Advisory level winds expected north of Tarpon Springs, and cautionary level conditions expected over the Gulf waters between Englewood and Tarpon Springs. Cautionary to Advisory level conditions will continue through Monday, with winds and seas expected to subside Monday night through much of the week as the area of low pressure to the north of the waters dissipates.

Tonight
West winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday
West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to around 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday Night
West winds around 15 knots then becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday
Southwest winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late in the morning, then increasing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Southwest winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Southwest winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday
Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
West winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest around 5 knots late in the evening, then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated thunderstorms.
Friday
East winds around 5 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered thunderstorms.
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Last Update: 302 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018
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