Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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027
FXUS64 KHGX 120453
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1153 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

The return of onshore winds should lead to the eventual return of
low level moisture through the short-term. This will likely trans-
late to increased heat index values and perhaps a more active sea
(and/or bay) breeze(s) tomorrow. 12Z runs are indicating that PWs
will be climbing back to around 2" through the day, with isolated
to scattered development along the sea/bay breezes. The best rain
chances should be generally across and south of the I-10 corridor.
But for areas outside of the potential showers/storms...and given
the increased dewpoints, heat index values will be rising to 105-
108F for a part of the CWFA tomorrow afternoon (with highs in the
mid to upper 90s). A Heat Advisory is likely.

Overnight lows will range from the mid to upper 70s across inland
areas...lower 80s along the immediate coast. 41

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

The long-term forecast remains on track with being hot and mostly
dry. Slight shifting in the mid/upper level ridge and surface high
will occur; however, it will not be enough to spare us from daily
highs in the 90s to near 100 degrees this week. The combination of
heat and increasing moisture at the surface will lead to heat index
values in the 107-113F range. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible during the afternoon hours Tuesday, particularly along and
south of the I-10 corridor. Isolated showers and storms remain
possible Wednesday-Friday afternoons along the coast in
association with the sea breeze.

Heat Advisories will likely be needed through the week, and
Excessive Heat Warnings will be possible. Please continue to keep
heat safety at the forefront of any plans that you make (especially
if outdoors).Know the signs of heat related illnesses (heat
stroke/heat exhaustion), drink plenty of water to stay hydrated,
take frequent breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous outdoor
activities during the hottest part of the day, wear sunscreen and
loose/light-colored clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS LOOK before
you LOCK your vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well! If the
ground is too hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for
their paws.

Adams

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

Mostly VFR conditions expected throughout the TAF period. There is
a brief window for MVFR cigs during the early morning hours,
along with the chance for patchy fog developing over LBX overnight
into early morning. Light VRB winds will prevail tonight,
becoming SE in the morning and increasing to 5-10 KTS. There is a
chance for some SHRA/TSRA to develop near and along the sea breeze
in the afternoon, but confidence of whether it will directly
affect any of our sites, remains low. Winds become light again
just before midnight.

Cotto (24)

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

Light winds and low seas will prevail. During the overnight hours,
winds may intermittently increase to around 10 to 15 knots. Rain
chances remain low.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  76  97  77  97 /   0  10   0  10
Houston (IAH)  79  97  79  97 /   0  20   0  30
Galveston (GLS)  83  92  82  90 /   0  10   0  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Adams
AVIATION...Cotto (24)
MARINE...Adams