534
FXUS62 KMLB 171804 CCA
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
202 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 202 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

VFR is forecast outside of storms. Scat`d showers/storms are
forecast to develop into the afternoon/evening with the greatest
chances (30-50%) along and west of I-4. VCTS begins between 18-20Z
at inland sites and KDAB/KTIX with TEMPO TSRA groups this
afternoon/evening for inland sites and KDAB. E/SE winds at 5-10kts
during the afternoon become light from the S/SE overnight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 924 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

GOES-16 ECONUS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS DRIER AIR
(PWAT ~ 1.25 INCHES) PUSHING ONTO THE TREASURE COAST AND POINTS
NORTHWESTWARD THIS MORNING. THIS WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES MINIMAL
(20PCT) SOUTH OF A BREVARD-CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY LINE, WITH
CHANCES 30-55PCT NORTHWEST THRU THE I-4 CORRIDOR. LATE DAY AND
EARLY EVENING WILL SEE THE HIGHEST COVERAGE AND GREATEST INTENSITY.
AVAILABLE MOISTURE, DAYTIME HEATING, AND SEA BREEZE/OUTFLOW
INTERACTIONS WILL PROMOTE ANY CONVECTION WE SEE LATER TODAY. A FEW
STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES,
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH, AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. SLOW-MOVING
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DROP 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN, WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
SPOTS. ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH THRU MID TO LATE EVENING WITH CLOUDS
THINNING OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH CONDITIONS HUMID.

AFTERNOON HIGHS CONTINUE IN THE L-M90S WITH AFTERNOON PEAK HEAT
INDICES 100-105F. THOSE SPENDING EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME
OUTDOORS, ARE ENCOURAGED TO REMAIN WELL-HYDRATED AND TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS IN THE SHADE OR IN AN AIR CONDITIONED BUILDING.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN CONSISTENT AND IN THE M-U70S.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 430 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Generally favorable boating conditions are forecast to persist
through at least Sunday as an area of high pressure remains in
place across the local Atlantic waters. Light and variable winds
will become more southeasterly each afternoon as a result of the
sea breeze, with wind speeds of 10 to 15 knots possible,
especially closer to the coast. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Isolated to
scattered showers and storms will be possible today through
Thursday, primarily during the late evening and overnight hours,
with periods of mostly dry conditions during the daytime.
Increasing moisture locally will lead to a greater chance for
shower and storm development during the daytime hours from Friday
through Sunday. Any storms that develop may be capable of
producing cloud-to-water lightning strikes, gusty winds, and heavy
downpours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  94  77  94 /  10  40  10  50
MCO  76  96  77  96 /  20  50  10  60
MLB  77  91  77  91 /  10  50  10  50
VRB  76  92  76  93 /  10  50  10  50
LEE  77  95  78  95 /  20  50  20  60
SFB  76  96  77  96 /  10  50  10  60
ORL  77  96  78  96 /  20  50  10  60
FPR  76  91  76  92 /  10  50  10  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Sedlock
AVIATION...Fehling