Ian Forecast to be a Major Hurricane Entering the Gulf of Mexico; Threats to Florida

There is a risk that Ian will bring dangerous storm surge, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall along the west coast of Florida and the Florida Panhandle by the middle of this week. Flash and urban flooding is possible with rainfall across the Florida Keys and the Florida peninsula through the middle of the week. Residents in Florida should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place.
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For More Weather Information:

Tampa Bay, FL Local Forecast Office

4NM NNE Captiva FL

Marine Point Forecast

[NOTICE]
  • Late
    Afternoon

    Scattered Showers

    Light Wind
    < 1ft

    High: 87 °F

  • Tonight

    Scattered Showers

    E 7kt
    < 1ft

    Low: 79 °F

  • Monday

    Showers

    ESE 7kt
    < 1ft

    High: 87 °F

  • Monday
    Night

    Showers

    E 12kt
    < 1ft

    Low: 76 °F

  • Tuesday

    Showers

    E 18kt
    1ft

    High: 82 °F

  • Tuesday
    Night

    Showers

    Tropical Storm Conditions Possible

    Low: 77 °F

  • Wednesday

    Showers

    Hurricane Conditions Possible

    High: 84 °F

  • Wednesday
    Night

    Showers Likely

    Hurricane Conditions Possible

    Low: 79 °F

  • Thursday

    Showers Likely

    Tropical Storm Conditions Possible

    High: 84 °F


High and low forecast temperature values represent air temperature.

Associated Zone Forecast which includes this point

Last Update: 4:22 pm CDT Sep 25, 2022
Forecast Valid: 5pm CDT Sep 25, 2022-6pm CDT Oct 2, 2022

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Detailed Forecast


Synopsis: High pressure holding north of the waters will setup east and northeast winds through Monday. Tuesday through late in the week, marine conditions will rapidly deteriorate as what is currently Tropical Storm Ian is forecast to move north into the eastern Gulf of Mexico and strengthen into a major hurricane. Mariners should stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center for the latest updates on Ian and plan accordingly.

Late Afternoon
Variable winds 5 kt or less. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight
NNE wind 5 to 7 kt becoming E after midnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Seas 1 ft or less.
Monday
ESE wind 5 to 7 kt becoming WSW in the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Seas 1 ft or less.
Monday Night
E wind 9 to 12 kt. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tuesday
E wind 14 to 18 kt, with gusts as high as 25 kt. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Seas around 1 ft.
Tuesday Night
Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Wednesday
Hurricane conditions possible. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Wednesday Night
Hurricane conditions possible. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.
Thursday
Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

*Notices:

  1. This forecast is for a single location. For safety concerns, mariners should be aware of the weather over a larger area. Forecast information for a larger area can be found within the zone forecast and the NDFD graphics.
  2. The forecast conditions at a particular point may not exceed the criteria of a Small Craft Advisory, Gale, Storm etc. These watches/warnings/advisories are issued for the entire zone in which the point resides and mariners should act accordingly.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Point Forecast: 26.56°N 82.17°W
Last Update: 4:22 pm CDT Sep 25, 2022
Forecast Valid: 5pm CDT Sep 25, 2022-6pm CDT Oct 2, 2022
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