459
FXUS65 KREV 090828
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
128 AM PDT Mon Mar 9 2026


.KEY MESSAGES...

* Warm and dry conditions with typical afternoon breezes
  will persist this week and much of next week.

* Plan on typical breezes this afternoon with increased breezy
  conditions on Tuesday.

* No indications of significant rainfall or winds in the 7-10 day
  forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

* The benign weather pattern persists this week and may extend into
  the following week. Only notable item will be the increased
  breeziness this afternoon and Tuesday, with another `shot` for
  winds on Thursday afternoon. Westerly winds will kick up this
  afternoon and shift northwesterly by midday Tuesday with wind
  gusts 25-30 mph (60%+), with locally higher gusts to 40-45 mph on
  the ridges. The most windy spots will be in eastern Lassen,
  northern Washoe, and Mineral counties. Outside the brief uptick in
  winds, temperatures will cool on Tuesday a touch, but will remain
  5-10 degrees above average.

* Drying and warming trend resumes after the brief cooldown and
  breezes on Tuesday. An anomalously strong ridge intensifies and
  takes temperatures up into the mid to upper 70s by Thursday in
  western NV, and mid to upper 60s for many eastern Sierra
  communities. The temperatures will be more reminiscent of late May
  than early March. The blended guidance looking ahead to late this
  week into early next week shows a 50-70% chance for lower
  elevation areas to hit 80 degrees. Keep in mind that for Reno the
  average 1st 80 degree day is typically April 30th with the
  earliest recorded on March 12 in 2007. The first 80 degree day for
  Reno last year was March 25th, so we`re a bit ahead of schedule if
  it pans out. The ensemble cluster analysis bolsters our confidence
  in the warm spell as it highlights an anomalously strong ridge
  across the West through the 7-10 period. Time to get out the
  shorts, sunglasses, and extra sunscreen!

-Edan


&&

.AVIATION...

* VFR conditions prevail through much of the next week for all
  terminals. Chances for FZFG at KTRK remain low (less than 20%
  chance) through this morning.

* Increasing westerly winds this afternoon will become northwesterly
  on Tuesday afternoon, with surface gusts between 15-20 kts likely
  for all western NV terminals. Westerly FL100 winds will be between
  20-30 kts on Tuesday 9z-Wednesday 6z.

* Mid to high level clouds will accompany the brief uptick in winds
  on Tuesday, but no precipitation is forecast.

-Edan

&&


.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$