220
FXUS64 KMOB 091132
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
632 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

 - Patchy dense fog is possible overnight into the pre-dawn hours
   over the next several nights.

 - Strong to Severe storms with large hail possible this
   afternoon and another round of severe storms possible Wednesday
   night into Thursday morning.

 - Near Gale force sustained winds and frequent gale force gusts
   possible over the open Gulf Waters Wednesday night into
   Thursday.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Areas of dense fog will continue across the area through the
morning hours and a dense fog advisory is in effect through 9am.
Once the fog clears, temps will warm into the upper 70s and low
80s. Moisture levels will also increase today ahead a shortwave
moving through the zonal flow aloft. This will lead to the
development of showers and thunderstorms across northern portions
of the area during the afternoon hours. Favorable instability and
deep layer shear will create an environment favorable for strong
to severe thunderstorms mainly north of Highway 84 where there is
a slight risk of severe storms today. The main threat is large
hail, potentially up to 2 inches in diameter. The tornado threat
is low but cannot be completely ruled out. Dry conditions follow
in the wake of the shortwave on Tuesday as upper ridging builds
over the area with high temps in the low to mid 80s. The next
system approaches Wednesday night into Thursday morning. This will
bring another chance for strong to severe storms to the area. A
much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area on Thursday with
highs in the low to mid 60s inland to near 70 along the coast.
Lows Thursday night fall into the low 40s inland to upper 40s
along the coast. Temperatures warm back into the upper 70s and low
80s by the weekend. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Low ceilings and fog have developed over portions of the local
area this morning. Expect fog to dissipate and ceilings to lift over
the next couple hours. VFR conditions should become prevalent for
the afternoon hours. Scattered storms are expected to develop over
interior counties later this afternoon and into the evening hours,
bringing temporary reductions in visibility and ceilings in some
of the heaviest activity. IFR or lower ceilings look to return to
the area tonight, with some patchy fog possible during the
overnight hours. Southerly winds will increase to around 5-10
knots this afternoon. Winds become light and variable tonight. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

A light to moderate southeasterly to southerly flow continues
into the middle of next week. Dense fog remains possible near the
coastline for the next several nights. Small Craft conditions are
likely by Wednesday night into Thursday night and gale conditions
are possible as winds turn northerly behind an advancing cold
front. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      80  66  82  66 /  20  10   0   0
Pensacola   76  67  78  67 /  10  10   0   0
Destin      75  65  76  65 /  10  10   0   0
Evergreen   82  62  86  62 /  50  20   0   0
Waynesboro  81  65  84  66 /  60  30   0   0
Camden      80  64  83  64 /  60  30  10   0
Crestview   81  62  83  62 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ051>060-
     261>266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for FLZ201>206.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075-
     076-078-079.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CDT today for GMZ630>636-650-655.

&&

$$