895
FXUS62 KMFL 091120
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
720 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 719 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

    - Elevated risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches
      through mid week.

    - Temperatures will remain above normal through most of the
      upcoming week.

    - Scattered showers and thunderstorms could develop over
      interior South FL this afternoon into early evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 102 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

A few stray showers over the interior are quickly diminishing early
this morning. Outside of a few stray coastal showers, most of South
FL will remain dry this morning. Some patchy fog is likely this
morning over the typical interior locations.

Surface high pressure will remain in control early this week. This
will result in southeast flow continuing across the area, albeit
much weaker than what was seen for much of the last week. With the
weaker flow, the Gulf coast sea breeze will be able to make a good
push inland again today, and with PWAT values of 1.2-1.4 inches and
MUCAPE values of 1500 J/kg during the peak heating of the day, some
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible from mid
afternoon through early evening over inland areas.

Drier conditions are expected on Tuesday. Forecast soundings show
PWAT values dropping to around 1.1 inches with plenty of dry air in
the mid and upper levels. While a stray shower can`t be completely
ruled out, chances are only 10% or less across the area.

Temperatures will remain above normal with highs today and Tuesday
ranging from the low to mid 80s across the east coast metro to upper
80s and around 90 over inland SW FL. Lows tonight will be in the
60s/70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 102 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

High pressure will remain in the western Atlantic through the middle
of this week. Mainly dry conditions will prevail through Wednesday.
A better chance of rain is expected towards the end of the work week
as a frontal boundary slides south across FL and approaches our area
by Friday before weakening and eventually dissipating over South FL
or just to the south of us. While any rainfall will be welcome given
the ongoing drought, QPF amounts Thursday through the weekend are
meager, only adding up to a few tenths of an inch. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms will remain in the forecast next week as
whats left of the frontal boundary lingers in the area.

Temperatures will remain above normal through mid week, with only a
few degrees of relief for the end of the week into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 719 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

ESE winds 8-12 kts across the east coast metro by 15-16z, with an
afternoon Gulf breeze developing for APF. Scattered thunderstorms
are possible over the interior late in the day. Light and variable
winds forecast once again after sunset.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 102 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Gentle ESE breeze over the Atlantic waters today, with a light
variable breeze across the Gulf waters. Seas early this week 1-2 ft
in the Atlantic and a foot or less in the Gulf. A brief period of
hazardous winds are possible late in the week as a frontal boundary
approaches the area.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 102 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Persistent southeast flow will result in an elevated risk of rip
currents for the Atlantic beaches through mid week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            84  71  83  72 /   0  10   0   0
West Kendall     86  67  86  67 /  10  10   0   0
Opa-Locka        85  70  86  70 /  10  10   0   0
Homestead        84  71  84  71 /  10  10   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  82  70  82  71 /   0  10   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  82  71  83  71 /  10  10   0   0
Pembroke Pines   85  70  86  71 /  10  10   0   0
West Palm Beach  84  69  83  70 /  10  10   0   0
Boca Raton       83  70  83  71 /  10  10   0   0
Naples           85  67  86  67 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for FLZ071-073.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...Hadi