739
FXUS63 KICT 131819
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
119 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mostly dry this week along with seasonable temperatures through
  much of the week.

- Isolated showers and perhaps a rogue thunderstorm or two may
  be possible Tue-Wed afternoon but most areas are expected to
  remain dry.

- A warming trend to close out the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 101 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

The mid/upper ridge was centered over the Northern Plains/Upper
Mississippi Valley area while we remain just on the southern
periphery of this feature across the Central Plains. This pattern
will slowly evolve with little change anticipated through the middle
of the week leading to a persistence type forecast with highs around
90 and lows mostly in the upper 60s. A weakly capped airmass is
progged across southeast KS and Flint Hills on Tuesday afternoon
where a brief afternoon shower may try to develop during peak
heating.

Slightly better chances for an isolated shower or brief thunderstorm
may arrive on Wednesday afternoon during peak heating as another
subtle easterly wave may bring some shower activity to parts of the
area but widespread wetting precipitation appears unlikely at this
time.

As we move late into the week and especially the weekend, the H7
thermal ridge will arrive allowing temperatures begin to increase
with more typical values for late July as highs climb into the mid
and upper 90s. As the mid/upper ridge amplifies over the Rockies,
the storm track is still expected to remain north and east of our
area leading to mostly dry weather conditions through the period but
there is some uncertainty as a backdoor front approaches early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 101 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

Scattered fair weather cumulus in the 4k-6k ft layer with light
easterly winds will linger through the afternoon hours. Mostly
clear conditions are expected to develop this evening and light
and variable winds tonight.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM