Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
520 FXUS64 KCRP 091115 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 615 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 614 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026 - Low rain chances persist over South Texas through early this week. - Another cold front will move across Wednesday/Thursday. - Low to medium rain chances Tuesday night/Wednesday - Elevated fire weather conditions Wednesday through the end of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1144 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 Rain chances will be much lower today through Tuesday, staying below 20% across South Texas. Warm temperatures return today, with highs mid-80s to low 90s. Low to medium (20-55%) rain chances will return Tuesday night as a cold front moves in from the northwest. Dry air will surge in Thursday, lowering temperatures back into the 70s. This reprieve from the heat will be short-lived as temperatures soar back into the 80s and 90s by Friday afternoon. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 614 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026 LIFR/IFR conditions due to low stratus and areas of fog will improve through 15-17Z. Clouds are expected to hang around through much of today, but CIGs will be above 3500ft. Conditions are expected to lower this evening, but models are indicating less chance of dense fog. Tonight VSBYs will vary between MVFR/VFR, while CIGs vary between IFR/MVFR. S-SE winds across S TX today with gusts 20-25 knots at ALI and CRP TAF sites this afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1144 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly breeze will persist until Tuesday, with a less than 20% chance for rain across the waters. Winds will increase to a moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front. Winds will become moderate to strong (BF 5-6) with gusts to near gale (BF 7) possible late Tuesday night into Wednesday as a cold front surges toward the waters. Winds will shift to the west and then north as the front pushes across the waters Wednesday to Thursday. A low to medium (20-45%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will return Tuesday night and Wednesday as the cold front approaches. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1144 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 Minimum relative humidity values above 35% as well as light winds will limit fire weather concerns through Tuesday. A cold front will approach and then surge across South Texas Wednesday, dropping relative humidity values into the teens and increasing winds. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected from Wednesday through the end of the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 85 70 83 70 / 10 10 0 20 Victoria 84 69 83 68 / 10 10 10 30 Laredo 88 70 92 67 / 20 10 10 30 Alice 88 69 90 70 / 10 10 0 20 Rockport 82 71 81 71 / 10 10 10 20 Cotulla 85 70 90 66 / 10 10 10 60 Kingsville 87 70 88 70 / 10 10 0 20 Navy Corpus 79 71 78 70 / 10 10 10 20 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...TE/81