Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
333
FNUS72 KTAE 161108
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for M3 RX...USAF
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
708 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Generally light and variable winds are expected this morning until
the arrival of the sea breeze early this afternoon. Once the sea
breeze passes, winds will shift out of the south and increase to
5-10 mph with gusts around 15 mph. RH levels will be higher today
than previous days, only dropping to the low to mid 50s this
afternoon. While an isolated shower cannot be completely ruled
out, the chances for a shower are less than 10 percent.
Dispersions will be good this afternoon. Winds will become light
and variable again tonight. A little bit of fog may develop toward
sunrise Sunday morning, but better chances are north of the burn
site. Sunday will be very similar to today in terms of the
forecast.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south 10 to 13
mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
increasing to 31 late in the morning increasing
to 47 early in the afternoon decreasing to 35.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16 16 21 21 21 30 30 30 52 52 52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............59 61 67 73 79 81 82 84 85 85 86
RH..............87 84 70 62 54 54 56 57 55 57 55
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E E SE SE S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 5 7 8 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.6 7 6 7 9 12 14 15 14 14 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE E E SE SE SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 12 10
Dispersion......2 6 9 17 27 35 44 50 46 38 32
LVORI...........6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49 49 49 45 45 45 32 32 32 39 39 39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............83 81 78 75 73 70 69 68 66 66 66 64
RH..............61 63 69 74 79 84 87 87 93 90 90 97
20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT wind gust.10 8 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 5 5 3 3 5 3 3 3
Dispersion......21 13 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 8
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph shifting to the south 12
to 13 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
increasing to 44 late in the morning increasing
to 53 late in the afternoon decreasing to 42.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44 44 44 33 33 33 4 4 4 3 3 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............66 66 67 70 75 79 82 83 84 85 84 85
RH..............93 93 93 87 76 67 58 59 55 55 57 55
20 FT wind dir..N E E SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..0 1 1 1 3 3 6 7 8 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.3 5 5 6 8 10 13 15 16 16 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.3 3 5 7 9 12 12 13 13 13 13 12
Dispersion......2 2 5 11 24 41 47 52 57 53 48 42
LVORI...........8 7 6 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Young
Requested by...Robert Harris
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613797.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert_harris@fws.gov,thomas.murrie@us.af.mil,thomas.harrison.22@us.af.mil