Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
977
FNUS74 KEPZ 141621
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Adair 1 Piles...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1021 AM MDT Wed Oct 14 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on October 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Mild breeziness today out of the southwest shifting north late tonight.
Winds shift easterly tomorrow afternoon becoming windy late Thursday
night through much of Friday and potentially even into Saturday morning
due to a strong cold front pushing in. No rain chances today or tomorrow
but low rain chances Saturday. Maximum ventilation rates today will
be very good but tomorrow will be poor to fair.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph with gusts to around
24 mph.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (109300 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........12 12 5 4 4
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 52 59 61 60
RH..............82 56 34 27 27
20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 W 8 W 8
20 ft wind gust.24 24 23 24 24
Mix hgt (ft)....1800 3500 5200 5300 5000
Transport wind..SW 23 SW 23 W 24 W 21 W 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..37 71 120 99 60
Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD VYGD GOOD GOOD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph shifting to the north 9 to 12
mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4400 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........3 3 5 7 7 9
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............58 47 41 36 34 32
RH..............30 51 65 79 82 85
20 ft wind......W 5 W 5 N 4 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3
20 ft wind gust.17 17 15 12 12 10
Mix hgt (ft)....2900 500 500 500 500 500
Transport wind..W 12 N 9 N 10 N 12 N 10 N 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..29 4 5 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 9
to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (46400 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........11 7 7 6
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
Temp............32 37 56 63
RH..............81 70 38 29
20 FT wind......NE 4G13 NE 5G15 NE 6G15 NE 6G18
Mix hgt (ft)....500 1100 3900 4900
Transport wind..N 10 N 12 N 12 NE 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 11 34 39
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
East winds around 7 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623701.2/EPZ
.DELDT 10/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@firenet.gov