891
FNUS51 KBUF 081804
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will briefly build across the area today, and will
provide us with a cooler and mainly dry day...with the possible
exception of a few spotty showers east of the lakes. Much more
unsettled weather will then make a quick return tonight and Sunday
as another area of low pressure crosses the area...with mainly rain
south of Lake Ontario and a possible wintry mix across the North
Country eventually giving way to snow Sunday afternoon and night as
much colder air wraps in behind the departing low. The much colder
airmass will also eventually bring a period of accumulating lake
snows southeast and east of the lakes Monday night and Tuesday.

NYZ201-082100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None   Snow/fz Ra   Snow/fz Ra
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80          100
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       47           31           44
Min/Max Humidity (%)               52          100           74
AM Wind (mph)                    W  8                     NE  6
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  5      Lgt/Var    NE  9 G20
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.08         0.43
Precip Duration                                  6           12
Precip Begin                                 10 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4630                      2340
Transport Wind (kts)             W 11         E 10         E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               50930            0        35100
Dispersion Index                   51            0           35
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-082100-
Southern Tier-
104 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0           70           90
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       48           34           48
Min/Max Humidity (%)               53          100           69
AM Wind (mph)                   NW  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var         E  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.07         0.29
Precip Duration                                  6            8
Precip Begin                                  7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4380           60         2440
Transport Wind (kts)            NW  8         E  6        SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               35040          360        29280
Dispersion Index                   35            0           29
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Snow showers, rain showers and a chance of
freezing rain. Lows in the upper 20s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Highs in
the mid 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and a chance of
rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers with snow showers likely. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers with snow showers likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$