Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 032353
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.DISCUSSION...

As an upper level ridge continues to hover over the Bering Sea,
warmer weather is anticipated for at least the earlier portion of
the week until widespread troughing takes over mid week. High
temps are expected to be in the 70s and will decrease throughout
the week. Minimum RH values will most likely be relatively high in
the 50% and 60% range for the majority of the West Coast region.
Some locations on coastlines may even see min RH values in the 70%
to 80% range. Rain showers are also likely over the South Slopes
of the Western Brooks Range, the Noatak Valley, the majority of
the Seward Peninsula, Kobuk Valley, and the North Slopes of the
Western Alaska Range for most of the forecast period. Isolated
thunderstorms are the most likely this evening in the Lower Kobuk,
Seward Pen, Nulato Hills, Lower Koyukuk, Upper Kuskokwim, and
the Lower/Middle Yukon Valley.

AKZ913-041800-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     30           70           70           40
CWR                   0            40           40           20
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      47-57 (0)    71-81 (-7)   45-54        68-78
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (+10)  ABV 40 (+25) 88-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9 G18    W 5-9        W 3-7        SW 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8         W 10         SW  6        SW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          2900         200          3400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2400         29000        1200         34000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 72 to 82. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 40 to 50.
Highs 69 to 79. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs
65 to 75. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-041800-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     30           30           30           30
CWR                   0            10           0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      47-57 (-3)   62-72 (-8)   44-54        60-70
RH % (24h trend)      89-100 (+16) ABV 40 (+18) 89-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 7-11 G20   SW 4-8       W 3-7        SW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10         W 12         W  7         SW  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          2600         400          2900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    4000         31200        2800         26100

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 63 to 73. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 38 to 48.
Highs 58 to 68. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
55 to 65. North winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ916-041800-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         None
Chance precip (%)     10           20           0            0
CWR                   5            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      53-60 (-2)   62-72 (-8)   49-57        61-71
RH % (24h trend)      88-100 (+13) ABV 40 (+14) 93-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 6-10       W 7-11 G19   W 6-10 G18   W 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10         W 15         W 12         W 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          2600         400          2700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    4000         39000        4800         32400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 65 to 75. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 46 to 54. Highs
58 to 68. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 43 to 51. Highs
55 to 65. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-041800-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     50           30           30           0
CWR                   10           0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      49-58 (-3)   64-74 (-6)   48-56        65-75
RH % (24h trend)      88-100 (+14) ABV 40 (+12) 87-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  7        NW  8        NW  6        W  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          3500         300          5000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2800         28000        1800         40000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 65 to 75. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
58 to 68. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40 to 50. Highs
54 to 64. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-041800-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            30           30           20
CWR                   0            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      49-58 (-1)   70-80 (-6)   46-54        68-78
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+14) ABV 40 (+25) 89-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 4-8        W 7-11 G19   W 6-10 G19   W 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8         W 16         W  9         W 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          3000         300          3800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2400         48000        2700         53200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 72 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 43 to 51. Highs
69 to 79. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40 to 48. Highs
65 to 75. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ923-041800-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     50           30           30           0
CWR                   10           0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      46-56 (-2)   65-75 (-1)   46-56        66-76
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+11) ABV 40 (+3)  85-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5        W  6         N  5         SW  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          3900         300          5200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    1500         23400        1500         41600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 66 to 76. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 39 to 49. Highs
58 to 68. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 44. Highs
53 to 63. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ924-041800-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0            0
CWR                   5            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      50-58 (-1)   66-76 (0)    51-59        67-77
RH % (24h trend)      85-99 (+7)   ABV 40 (-1)  83-98        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5         W  7         E  5         S  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          4700         300          5600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    1500         32900        1500         44800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 50 to 59. Highs 68 to 78. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 47 to 55.
Highs 60 to 70. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 53.
Highs 54 to 64. North winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ925-041800-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         None         none         none
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
CWR                   0            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      50-56 (0)    64-74 (+2)   51-57        64-74
RH % (24h trend)      92-100 (0)   ABV 40 (-7)  85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 8-12 G25  SE 8-12 G22  SE 6-10 G21  SE 7-11 G20
Transport wnd (mph)   E 10         SE 16        SE  8        SE 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          4800         300          4400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    3000         76800        2400         57200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 51 to 58.
Highs 64 to 74. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 50 to 56.
Highs 59 to 69. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 48 to 55.
Highs 55 to 65. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ926-041800-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
CWR                   0            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      51 (0)       64-74 (+3)   51           63-73
RH % (24h trend)      86-99 (0)    ABV 40 (-7)  83-98        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 3-7 G17   SE 6-10 G17  SE 5-9       SE 6-10 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7         E 13         SE  7        SE 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          5400         300          5100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2800         70200        2100         61200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 51 to 58. Highs 65 to 75. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 49 to 56.
Highs 59 to 69. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 48 to 55. Highs
55 to 65. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ928-041800-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           40           30
CWR                   10           10           10           5
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      50-60 (-2)   69-79 (-4)   48-58        69-79
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (+15)  ABV 40 (+17) 84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 4-8        NW 4-8 G17   NW 3-7       W 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8         NW 13        W  7         W 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          3900         300          5800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    3200         50700        2100         69600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 48 to 58.
Highs 71 to 81. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 45 to 55. Highs
66 to 76. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
62 to 72. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ929-041800-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           40           30
CWR                   10           10           10           5
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      49-59 (-1)   68-78 (0)    50-59        68-78
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+6)  ABV 40 (0)   83-98        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7         W  7         SW  5        SW  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          4700         200          6300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2100         32900        1000         50400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 50 to 60.
Highs 72 to 82. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 47 to 57. Highs
68 to 78. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 61 to 71. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-041800-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           10           10           10
CWR                   5            5            5            5
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      47-57 (0)    69-79 (+2)   49-59        69-79
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (+1)   ABV 40 (-5)  82-97        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  7         S  5         S  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          5500         300          6300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    1500         38500        1500         50400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 72 to 82.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 46 to 56.
Highs 64 to 74. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 46 to 56.
Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ951-041800-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           40           30
CWR                   0            0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      44-54 (0)    66-76 (+4)   44-54        68-78
RH % (24h trend)      87-99 (0)    ABV 40 (-5)  85-98        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  3        N  3         S  5         E  5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          4700         200          5600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    1200         14100        1000         28000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 44 to 54. Highs 71 to 81. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
65 to 75. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
60 to 70. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ952-041800-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
353 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           20
CWR                   5            5            5            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      46-56 (0)    66-76 (+3)   48-57        68-78
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (-1)  ABV 40 (-5)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5        SW  5        SW  5        S  5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          5400         300          6000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2000         27000        1500         30000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 46 to 56. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 45 to 55. Highs
67 to 77. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55. Highs
60 to 70. South winds around 5 mph.

$$