Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV
045 FXUS65 KVEF 070818 AFDVEF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 1218 AM PST Thu Nov 7 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Gusty winds and cool temperatures gradually moderate today and tomorrow as our recent system pushes east. Temperatures rise to above-normal values by Monday before our next system brings another round of breezy and cooler conditions. && .SHORT TERM...Through Friday. The bowling-ball low responsible for the gusty north winds will continue to spin across eastern Arizona today. Winds won`t be quiet as strong as yesterday, but it`s still shaping up to be a blustery morning, especially in the lower Colorado River Valley where gusts of 25-40 mph are expected. In some places where winds remain light before sunrise, the first freezes of the season are forecast. This includes Kingman, Pahrump, Indian Springs, and the Tecopa/Shoshone areas. As the day goes on, gusts will gradually wane due to the low pushing east. Forecast high temps today are a few degrees warmer than yesterday, but still below normal. By Friday, the aformentioned low ejects into the Southern Plains. The additional distance between our area and the low yields 500mb height rises and a relaxation of surface pressure gradients. As a result, temps warm another 2-6 degrees and winds become relatively light. .LONG TERM...This Weekend into Next Week Pleasantly mild and dry conditions look to take shape for the upcoming weekend as weak ridging develops over the Desert Southwest. This will bring near normal temperature and light winds, with highs climbing to the 60s and 70s at most low elevations spots. From Sunday into the first half of next week, ensemble solutions are pointing to a more progressive pattern. Much uncertainty exists with a fast moving open wave set to affect the region Sunday into Monday, though this looks to have little impact aside from an uptick in winds. The more substantial system appears to take shape by midweek as ensembles depict a deepening western U.S. trough. This will likely bring another bout of breezy to windy conditions and reinforcing shot of cold air, though substantial timing and location differences persist, generating rather low confidence at the moment. Toward the end of the week, it appears another brief bout of ridging may develop before another storm system digs in across the western CONUS. && .AVIATION...For Harry Reid...Remainder of the overnight and early- morning wind direction will vary from 330 to 030 with speeds around 10 kts. After sunrise, winds will favor the northeast with occasional gusts around 15 kts. Speeds weaken below 8 kts after 00Z. Wind direction will vary, but will favor the southwest. No operationally significant cloud cover expected through the TAF period. For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...Elevated north winds will continue along the Colorado River Valley through the day today with gusts between 25 and 35 kts impacting KIFP and KEED until sunset. Elsewhere, expect breezy north-northeast winds through the day with speeds around 10 kts. No operationally significant cloud cover expected through the TAF period. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures. && $$ SHORT TERM...Woods LONG TERM...Austin AVIATION...Soulat For more forecast information...see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter