


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV
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878 FXUS65 KVEF 112147 AFDVEF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 247 PM PDT Fri Jul 11 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Smoke from nearby fires will result in hazy skies at times through Saturday, but significant or widespread smoke impacts near the surface are not expected. * Hot and dry conditions will continue through the weekend with temperatures peaking Monday as ridging persists across the region. * Monsoon moisture makes a possible return mid to late next week along with a drop in temperatures. && .DISCUSSION...Today through the Middle of Next Week... High pressure over the region will allow temperatures to climb through the weekend and into early next week with temperatures peaking Monday. HeatRisk is mostly in the Moderate (Level 2) Saturday, but we are starting to see more isolated pockets of Major (Level 3) on Sunday. HeatRisk on Monday shows the greatest coverage of Major (Level 4) with temperatures running about 5-8 degrees above normal; however, these temperatures will still fall a few degrees shy of record values. At this point, decided to hold off on any Heat Warnings, but will continue to monitor. Hazy skies are expected over the next couple of days as various fires burn across the region combined with generally light winds aloft. The Gothic Fire located in central Nye county is the largest fire and has been responsible for most of our hazy conditions. So far today, smoke production has been much less than previous days but that will need to be watched this afternoon if another significant plume gets generated. The ridge will slowly retreat and weaken next week after Monday. Temperatures will cool off a bit each day in response. In addition, on Tuesday a slight increase in moisture is expected. This moisture will not result in any precipitation but will help cool temperatures and also reduce any fire danger due to extremely dry conditions. On Wednesday, high temperatures will have fallen back closer to normal for this time of the year. Any precipitation chance is now not expected until Thursday or later when better moisture and an easterly shortwave could bring low chances for precipitation. && .AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Light light to occasional east to southeast winds will prevail into this afternoon. Wind speeds overall are expected to remain under 7kts, although an occasional gust to around 14kts can`t be ruled out. Winds will shift the southwest after 03z and remain through the overnight period with speeds around 8kts. The primary concern aside from winds will be potential visual obscurations this evening and overnight due to smoke/haze from a wildfire in Nye County. The main question will be the amount of smoke production, which so far has been minimal this afternoon. Temperatures will remain above 100 degrees through 05Z. Temperatures will be above 100 degrees between 17Z through 05Z, peaking around 108 degrees around 01Z. For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Winds will generally remain less than 10kts for most TAF sites through the overnight period. The exception will be KDAG where west to northwest winds gusting to 20+kts are expected overnight before diminishing after 12Z. Due to wildfire smoke, there could be areas of haze through the overnight time frame; however, at this time smoke production has been less than previous days. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures. && DISCUSSION...Gorelow AVIATION...Gorelow For more forecast information...see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter