438
FNUS73 KUNR 011514
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Lytle Hill Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
914 AM MDT Tue Oct 1 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MDT on October 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Critical fire weather conditions will return yet
again today. Breezy southwest winds and relative humidity near 15
percent are expected this afternoon. Conditions will not improve
much tonight. Winds will continue to be breezy overnight and RH
recovery will be terrible. Elevated fire weather danger is possible
again Wednesday, due to low RH and breezy winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300 to 2800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
                    gusts to around 25 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200 to 700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to
                    the northwest in the morning. Gusts up to
                    20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000 to 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Keifer Huntley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423354.0/UNR
.DELDT 10/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL keifer.huntley@usda.gov