554
FNUS73 KUNR 152158
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Kicken Draw Wildfire...BLam
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
358 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.REST OF TODAY...Good chances for wetting rains are expected late
this evening as a system moves through the area. Thunderstorms
with variable and gusty winds will cross the area in the 9pm to 12
am time frame. Chances of showers will continue through the
overnight hours into Wednesday, possible bringing more wetting
rains.

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 to 3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  70
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0
Temp............75  74
RH..............54  55
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..12  14
20 FT wind gust.22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.0
Transp wind dir.N   NE
Transp wind spd.22  22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Rain showers overnight.
                    Patchy fog in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming light
                    and variable in the late evening. Then
                    shifting to the south at 10 to 15 mph after
                    3 am. Gusts up to 21 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
CWR.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1200 to 1700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 25 mph shifting to the south
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  76  82  88  92  95  99  98  98  98  98  98
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............74  72  69  66  62  59  56  55  55  54  54  54
RH..............55  61  68  73  78  90  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   S   S   W
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12  10  9   8   7   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.21  21  20  18  17  15  13  14  13  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  21  20  18  17  15  14  16  18  20  20  20

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog in
                    the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers
                    likely in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph in the morning,
                    then shifting to the north in the late
                    morning and afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 to 3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the north
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  98  98  98  97  97  96  93  90  87  79  71
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RNF RNF RNF RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............53  55  56  57  58  58  59  60  60  61  62  63
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 93  90  87  84  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  15  15  16  17  18  18  20  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.18  17  16  16  16  17  17  18  20  20  20  18

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Eric Mark
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518079.0/UNR
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric_mark@fws.gov