Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FNUS73 KUNR 041455
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Carex Machine...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
755 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on December 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Partly sunny skies are expected today, with dry
conditions for much of today. The next system moves in this evening,
bringing another chance for light snow over the spot area. Another
1 to 2 inches of snow will be possible, with a majority of the
snow falling late tonight through early Friday morning. Winds will
generally remain out of the west through Friday afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly sunny (40-50 percent). Then
                    increasing clouds this afternoon.
                    Chance of snow late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 33.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 to 1900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  40  35  31  32  39  43  62
Weather cov.....                            CHC
Weather type....                            SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............26  28  31  33  32  31  28  27
RH..............100 90  77  63  66  69  71  74
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.20  18  20  20  20  20  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.29  31  31  30  29  28  28  28

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
CWR.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......200 to 700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  88  92  90  85  89  90  91  93  92  93  95
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............27  27  28  28  29  29  28  28  27  27  27  27
RH..............78  81  81  81  85  88  92  92  96  96  92  96
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.18  20  21  23  24  24  24  25  25  26  26  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.28  29  30  31  32  33  33  32  31  30  30  29

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    in the morning. Slight chance of snow late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    decreasing to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......1900 to 2400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 35 mph becoming west 15 to 25
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  85  80  74  79  83  80  76  73  71  69  67
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC                         SCH
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN                          SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............27  27  27  28  29  29  29  30  30  28  26  24
RH..............96  92  91  90  90  89  86  84  83  85  89  92
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.24  23  23  23  22  22  22  21  20  17  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.29  29  29  30  31  32  31  29  25  21  16  13

$$
Forecaster...SR
Requested by...Brandon Fischer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526840.2/UNR
.DELDT 12/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.fischer@usda.gov