846
FNUS73 KUNR 141310
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for FT Meade Unit 3...BLM
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
610 AM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mainly sunny weather can be expected today with mild
temperatures and low afternoon humidity. Westerly winds are expected
to shift to the north during the midday and early afternoon hours.
Inversion will break late this morning, with fair to good smoke
dispersal developing during the late morning and persisting into the
mid afternoon. Fair humidity recovery is likely later tonight, with
winds shifting to the south during the evening. Friday will be
cooler with higher afternoon humidity and breezy southeasterly
winds developing late in the morning.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........21-24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north
                    around 10 mph early in the afternoon. Gusts to
                    18 mph during the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 feet early this morning, increasing
                    to 5000 to 6000 ft agl during the late morning and
                    early afternoon.
Transport winds.....West-Southwest around 15 mph later this morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to Good from about 11 AM to 3 PM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........55-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
                    south-southeast during the evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........33-37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10
                    to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph late in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300 to 1800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair during the late morning and early
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...ST
Requested by...Travis Lipp
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426551.0/UNR
.DELDT 11/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tlipp@blm.gov, Douglas.Huntrods@va.gov