525
FNUS73 KUNR 061054
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Kyle...SD-PRA
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
454 AM MDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0444 MDT on October 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Unseasonably warm temperatures will return Monday through
the week.

Sunny and dry weather expected today; smoke from WY and western
fires will filter back into the region later this afternoon. Winds
will be variable and lighter compared to previous days; expect a lot
of terrain influence and variability on winds through the afternoon.
Daytime relative humidity will fall to around 15% this afternoon.

Overnight RH recovery will be improved into Monday morning (~55-60%),
although winds will shift out of the southeast with sustained winds
near 10 mph and occasional gusts to 20 mph through the overnight hours
into Monday morning. The wind shift and increase in winds will occur
after 1600-1700 this afternoon.

Temperatures will push into the 80s to near 90 Monday through Thursday
with daytime RH falling into the teens each day. While winds will
remain below critical thresholds, elevated fire weather conditions
will persist given the warm and dry conditions.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) then becoming mostly sunny
                    (25-35 percent). Smoke in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast with gusts to around 10-15 mph in the
                    afternoon. Generally lighter and variable today
                    with considerable terrain influence.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800 to 4300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 to 22 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Haze in the
                    morning. Areas of smoke through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    north after 1100-1200. Gusts up to 15 to 18 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000 to 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

$$
Forecaster...SE
Requested by...IC Bauer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423656.1/UNR
.DELDT 10/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL justin.bauer@bia.gov