Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FNUS73 KUNR 131545
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Spot Forecast for Ellsworth RX Fall 2025...US FWS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
945 AM MDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on October 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny skies expected today with gradually
warming temperatures throughout the afternoon with relative
humidity remaining above 60%. Southeast winds will increase from
8 to 12 mph to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon. Winds will
occasionally gust up to 35 mph at times.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 to 3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  88  84  81  77  69  61  54  52  50
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  47  49  50  52  55  57  58  58  57
RH..............87  86  81  80  77  69  67  64  67  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..17  17  17  16  16  16  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.30  28  28  28  29  29  29  28  26  24
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.1 2.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.30  30  30  30  29  28  26  25  24  23

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  57  65  70  72  75  77  82  87  92  93  93
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  53  50  48  47  46  45  45  45  45  45  45
RH..............77  83  89  96  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..13  12  12  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.23  22  22  21  20  20  18  17  17  16  15  15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph.
CWR.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......1900 to 2400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  91  87  84  82  79  77  76  74  73  75  77
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............46  47  48  50  51  53  55  56  58  59  59  59
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 93  86  83  80  78  78  80
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  16  17  17  18  20  20  20  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  15  15  16  16  17  18  18  17  16

$$
Forecaster...AW
Requested by...Bela Harrington
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523504.0/UNR
.DELDT 10/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bela_harrington@fws.gov