Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
107
FNUS75 KTWC 040153
FWSTWC
Spot Forecast for Rancheria...USDA Forest
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
653 PM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MST on July 03.
.DISCUSSION...
Slight chance (15-20 percent) for showers and thunderstorms this
evening decreasing overnight. Outside of gusty, erratic winds
associated near thunderstorms, winds will be from the south at
5 to 8 MPH. Overnight RH will be good with values around 70 percent
and overnight low around 70 degrees. Tomorrow, slight chance (15-20
percent) for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon decreasing
overnight. High temperature will be around 94 degrees with minimum
RH around 27 percent on Friday. Outside of gusty and erratic winds
associated near thunderstorms, winds will be from the south at 8 to
11 MPH shifting to the west in the early afternoon. Winds will shift
back to the south overnight Friday at 5 to 10 MPH. Overnight low will
be around 74 degrees with maximum RH around 58 percent. Saturday, very
slight chance for showers and thunderstorms. High temperature around
97 degrees with minimum RH around 21 percent.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent decreasing to 0 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....69-72 degrees.
Max humidity........68-71 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 knots.
TIME (MST) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky (%).........46 37 33 10 9 8 10
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 20 0 0 0 0
Temp............74 74 73 72 72 71 70
RH..............60 61 61 64 65 66 69
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 5 4 3
20 FT wind gust.10 8 8 7 7 6 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW S S SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.10 9 9 8 7 6 6
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly sunny. Slight chance
of showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 20 percent early in the
morning.
Max temperature.....91-94 degrees.
Min humidity........27-30 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 10
knots late in the afternoon.
TIME (MST) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A
Sky (%).........10 5 43 43 43 61 61 61 38 38 38 43
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............71 77 80 82 85 86 89 90 90 92 92 92
RH..............69 60 52 48 44 41 36 34 32 30 29 28
20 FT wind dir..SE S W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..3 2 4 6 6 6 7 8 9 8 9 9
20 FT wind gust.5 6 8 10 10 11 13 14 13 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.9 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4
Transp wind dir.SW W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 6 7 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent decreasing to 0 percent late in the
evening.
Min temperature.....71-74 degrees.
Max humidity........58-61 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds shifting to the south 5 to 10 mph in
the late evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL early in
the evening.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 knots.
TIME (MST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky (%).........43 43 51 51 51 26 24 22 20 21 22 23
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............91 89 85 82 80 78 77 76 75 74 72 72
RH..............28 30 33 39 41 43 46 49 52 55 58 59
20 FT wind dir..W W W W S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 6 5 4 6 6 6 5 6 5 4 4
20 FT wind gust.13 10 7 6 10 8 8 7 8 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 2.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 7 8 9 9 8 7 6 6 6
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
morning, then decreasing to 10 percent late in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....94-97 degrees.
Min humidity........21-24 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 knots shifting to the west.
TIME (MST) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A
Sky (%).........19 16 12 11 9 33 33 33 33 33 33 16
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
Temp............74 78 81 85 88 90 92 94 95 95 95 94
RH..............56 51 45 40 35 31 28 26 24 23 22 22
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 10 10
20 FT wind gust. 6 7 8 11 13 13 13 13 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.4 2.0 2.9 4.0 5.1 6.0 6.8 7.2 7.6 7.5 6.8
Transp wind dir.W NW N NW NW W W W W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.6 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 11 11
$$
Forecaster...MALARKEY
Requested by...Jeff Fulgham
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517167.1/TWC
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeffrey.fulgham@usda.gov
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson