Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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859
FNUS75 KTWC 110011
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Lookout Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
511 PM MST Sun Aug 10 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 MST on August 11.

.DISCUSSION...
20 to 40 percent chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms
Monday afternoon starting around 1300 MST. Expect gusty and erratic
winds near thunderstorms. High temperature will be around 75 degrees
with minimum RH around 19 percent. Winds will be from the northwest
at 5 to 10 MPH. Overnight, lows will be around 55 degrees with max
RH around 60 percent. Winds overnight will be continue to be from
the northwest at 5 to 10 MPH. Tuesday, 50 to 70 percent chance for
storms and showers in the afternoon starting around 1200 MST. Expect
gusty and erratic winds near thunderstorms. High temperature will be
around 75 degrees with minimum RH around 24 percent. Winds will be
from the northwest at 5 to 10 MPH shifting to the southwest in the
afternoon.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent late in the afternoon decreasing to
20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-77 degrees.
Min humidity........19-22 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon decreasing to 6200 ft
AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........27        6         38        57
Weather cov.....                    ISOLTD    SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    ISOLTD    SCTTRD
CWR.............0         0         20        40
Temp............55        68        73        72
RH..............60        31        21        22
20 FT wind......W 6G12    NW 6G14   NW 6G14   NW 7G14
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    4800      11200     8700
Transport wind..N 10      N 14      NW 13     N 14

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then
scattered rain showers early in the evening.
Areas of smoke early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....52-55 degrees.
Max humidity........56-59 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........45        50        26        31
Weather cov.....ISOLTD    SCTTRD    AREAS
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    SMOKE     NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD    ISOLTD
CWR.............20        30        10        10
Temp............68        61        58        55
RH..............32        46        49        55
20 FT wind......W 6G14    NW 6G14   NW 6G14   NW 6G12
Mix hgt (ft)....3500      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
Transport wind..NW 13     NW 11     NW 14     NW 12

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent then decreasing to 30 percent late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-76 degrees.
Min humidity........24-27 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL
                    late in the morning decreasing to 5500 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 9 knots shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........27        16        78        78
Weather cov.....                    NUMRUS    NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    SCTTRD    SCTTRD
CWR.............10        10        70        70
Temp............57        67        73        71
RH..............52        33        25        31
20 FT wind......NW 5G10   W 4G10    W 5G11    SW 5G10
Mix hgt (ft)....300       4400      10500     8100
Transport wind..NW 8      NW 8      W 9       W 8

$$
Forecaster...MALARKEY
Requested by...Devon Olson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519376.5/TWC
.DELDT 08/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL devon.olson@usda.gov

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