139
FNUS75 KTWC 011049
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Mavrick...BIA
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
349 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 MST on July 01.

.DISCUSSION...An active monsoon period over the next couple of days. Dry but
breezy conditions this morning with SE winds continuing. Expect scattered showers and
thunderstorms to develop over the higher terrain over the White Mountains of
northern Graham and Greenlee Counties this afternoon and push to the southwest
off the higher terrain towards the fire site as early as 3 PM and continuing into
the evening. These thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rain along with gusty
and erratic winds. Deeper moisture moves in Wednesday for more widespread shower
and thunderstorm activity.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent after 1500.
Max temperature.....97-100 degrees.
Min humidity........19-22 percent.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts
                    to around 26 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 12400.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 23 knots shifting to the east
                    12 to 13 knots late in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........12        1         2         48
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
CWR.............0         0         10        20
Temp............78        87        94        96
RH..............38        32        24        20
20 FT wind......SE 17G26  SE 16G25  SE 15G22  E 11G19
Mix hgt (ft)....900       3300      8600      12400
Transport wind..SE 19     SE 21     SE 16     E 12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through 2100,
                    a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms thereafter.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....76-79 degrees.
Max humidity........46-49 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph. Gusts 30 to 35 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.

Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 12 knots shifting to the southwest
                    early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    north around 14 knots early in the evening
                    shifting to the southeast 17 to 20 knots in the
                    late evening and overnight.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........53        57        44        41
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE    S CHC
CWR.............30        30        10        0
Temp............90        83        81        79
RH..............25        35        38        42
20 FT wind......E 11G18   SE 16G25  SE 17G30  SE 17G25
Mix hgt (ft)....5100      500       500       500
Transport wind..E 12      SE 17     SE 20     SE 18

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Parlty sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1100 through the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 40 percent late in the
                    morning through the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-95 degrees.
Min humidity........28-31 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph shifting to the south 6 to 11 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 knots shifting to the
                    southwest around 8 knots late in the afternoon,
                    then shifting to the northwest around 9 knots
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........45        22        60        60
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    CHANCE    CHANCE
CWR.............0         0         40        40
Temp............77        84        90        90
RH..............47        39        29        29
20 FT wind......SE 15G22  SE 11G18  S 7G14    W 7G14
Mix hgt (ft)....500       4000      7800      6500
Transport wind..SE 16     SE 12     S 8       SW 8

$$
Forecaster...LADER
Requested by...PIFC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517015.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson