963
FNUS75 KTWC 061526
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Clover W.U.I....San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
826 AM MST Wed Nov 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0852 MST on November 06.

.DISCUSSION...

A weather system moving through the area today and Thursday bringing
gusty winds, chances for snow showers (10-30%),and colder temperatures.
Surface northwest winds will be strongest this afternoon at 6-12 mph
with potential gusts up to 25 mph. Thursday the winds will be less.
Snow showers can begin as early as late this morning and continuing
on and off through tomorrow night. Overall snow accumulations will be
light 0-1 inches in total. There is a chance for some of any
precipitation that does fall could be a mix of rain and snow during
the day before switching to only snow overnight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny. Slight chance
                    of snow showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....46-49 degrees.
Min humidity........36-39 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
early afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 knots.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.

TIME (MST)      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM
Sky (%).........51        80        46        14
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20        20        20        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............32        43        45        37
RH..............68        43        38        43
20 FT wind......NW 3G10   NW 5G13   NW 6G16   N 5G14
Mix hgt (ft)....600       3900      4700      1400
Transport wind..NW 7      NW 10     W 13      N 11
Haines index....2         2         2         2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of snow showers late in the
                    evening. Chance of snow showers early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....16-19 degrees.
Max humidity........87-90 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the east in the
                    evening. Winds then shift to the north early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 11 knots shifting to the east 5 to 8
                    knots in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........13        13        30        30
Weather cov.....                    S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      SNSHWR    SNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10        10        20        20
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............31        24        20        18
RH..............56        71        79        84
20 FT wind......N 5G14    NE 4G12   E 2G8     SE 2G6
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      100       100       100
Transport wind..N 11      NE 8      E 7       E 5
Haines index....2         3         4         4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....45-48 degrees.
Min humidity........26-29 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning decreasing to 5800 ft AGL
                    decreasing to 500 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 knots shifting to the south in the
morning, then shifting to the west 6 to 9 knots
late in the morning shifting to the northwest
9 to 10 knots late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........54        54        52        52
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30        30        30        30
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............17        34        44        43
RH..............88        47        27        32
20 FT wind......NW 2G6    N 2G8     W 5G10    NW 6G14
Mix hgt (ft)....300       2800      7500      5800
Transport wind..NE 6      E 6       W 7       NW 9
Haines index....3         3         3         3

$$
Forecaster...TETRAULT
Requested by...Christine Thomson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425497.4/TWC
.DELDT 11/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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