Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
607 FNUS75 KTWC 291528 FWSTWC Spot Forecast for Creek Fire...San Carlos Reservation National Weather Service Tucson AZ 828 AM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MST on June 29. .DISCUSSION...Relatively deep moisture for late June will help keep RH values on the moist side through the weekend, along with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. Tomorrow afternoon and evening appears to the best timeframe for any stronger thunderstorms with erratic gusty outflows possible. Moisture will be deep enough for locally heavy rainfall with any stronger storms. Winds will generally remain below 15 mph this afternoon with occasional gusts to around 20 mph. Sunday afternoon winds will be slightly stronger sustained at around 15 mph through the afternoon with a few gusts as high as 30 mph. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....103-106 degrees. Min humidity........18-21 percent. 20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 4 to 9 knots. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....78-81 degrees. Max humidity........50-53 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 10 mph overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....South 7 to 8 knots. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent increasing to 70 percent in the afternoon. LAL.................3. Max temperature.....105-108 degrees. Min humidity........19-22 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL late in the morning, then increasing to 8300 ft AGL late in the morning increasing to 11400 ft AGL early in the afternoon decreasing to 9100 ft AGL decreasing to 6800 ft AGL late in the afternoon decreasing to 4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 knots. $$ Forecaster...Van Stratten Requested by...Fire Module Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416920.0/TWC .DELDT 06/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson