Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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638
FNUS75 KTWC 101830
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Potter...DFFM
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1130 AM MST Thu Jul 10 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on July 10.

.DISCUSSION...Hot temperatures continue this afternoon at the fire site
with breezy conditions. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected
to form this afternoon in the higher terrain (especially the Chiricahua
Mountains) and push to the south to southwest. Given the dry and hot
airmass, gusty outflow winds of 30 to 40 mph are expected in/near any
thunderstorms that occur. A similar forecast for Friday with continued breezes
outside of any thunderstorms and gusty and erratic winds in/near any
thunderstorms during the afternoon.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....96-99 degrees.
Min humidity........18-21 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts 20 to 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected in/near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 13 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening through 2100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....69-72 degrees.
Max humidity........66-69 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 16 knots.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-96 degrees.
Min humidity........23-26 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 11 to 16 knots.

$$
Forecaster...LADER
Requested by...Margaret Miller
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517765.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aidclogistics@dffm.az.gov

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