Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
839
FNUS55 KTWC 082048
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
148 PM MST Tue Jul 8 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Although Southeast Arizona will be experiencing a
low-grade monsoon pattern this week, isolated to low-end scattered
thunderstorm coverage is expected to the south and southeast of
Tucson into the weekend. The main threat for storms will be the
potential for strong gusty and erratic outflow winds 40-45 mph.
Otherwise, an eventual uptick in monsoon activity is possible later
this weekend and into next week as the upper high shifts to a more
favorable location aloft. Temperatures will remain above normal this
week with hottest temperatures Wednesday. Winds generally light and
under 15 mph with the exception of gusty and erratic winds up to 35-
45 mph near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jul 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 18 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............14408 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 knots shifting to the northwest
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (172896 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11913 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 14 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (190608 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 98 to 108. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 97 to 107.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 99 to 109. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 98 to 108.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 73 to 83. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jul 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............13333 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 8 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (173329 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............10575 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 13 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (179775 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jul 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............13799 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northeast 7 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (193186 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............13745 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 12 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (261155 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 93 to 103.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jul 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............13911 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 9 knots shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (194754 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 19 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............11944 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (238880 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 21 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 20 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 84 to 94.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jul 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............13862 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138620 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............13438 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 12 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (201570 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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