Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
377
FNUS55 KTWC 160915
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
215 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
High temperatures will be near normal today and Saturday. Typical
afternoon breezes today and Friday for much of southeast Arizona,
with breezy conditions persisting across Cochise, Graham and
Greenlee counties where 20-foot wind speeds will be around 15 mph
and gusts up to 25-30 mph during the mid/late afternoon hours.
Increasing west/southwest winds are expected over the upcoming
weekend as another storm system moves to our north. Near critical
to critical fire weather conditions are expected this weekend and
into Monday. Sunday looking to be the windiest of the period at 15
to 25 mph and gusts to 35 to 40 mph. Fire Weather Watch in effect
from 10 AM to 7 PM on Sunday. Monday`s winds will lower in speeds
and focused on the eastern areas, Cochise County to the Gila
River Valley. Temperatures will be 2-4 degrees below normal
Sunday, lowering to 9-12 degrees below normal next Monday, warming
to well above normal levels by the middle of next week.
AZZ150-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
215 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11580 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the
southwest 12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138960 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............10103 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191957 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 79 to 89. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 81 to 91. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 93 to 103.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
215 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9803 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the
southwest 15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (147045 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............7758 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 21 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (178434 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 75 to 85. Southwest wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 75 to 85. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 88 to 98.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
215 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............11496 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183936 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............10733 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 23 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (257592 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 76 to 86. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 75 to 85. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 86 to 96.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
215 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10029 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 10 knots shifting to the southwest
17 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (170493 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........42 to 52 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............9954 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 21 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (238896 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 64 to 74. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 62 to 72. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 76 to 86.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
215 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............12068 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the
southwest 17 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (205156 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............11284 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (282100 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 66 to 76. Southwest wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 65 to 75. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 76 to 86.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson