Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
396
FNUS55 KTWC 292043
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
143 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Relatively deep moisture will stick around through
the forecast period. This will bring scattered thunderstorms and
showers this afternoon and especially tonight with an uptick in
thunderstorms Sunday afternoon/evening. Next week will see daily
chances of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Strong
erratic gusty winds of 40 mph or higher can be expected with any
storm development, along with locally brief heavy rainfall. Outside
of thunderstorm winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or
less each afternoon with the occasional gust of 20 mph. Min RHs will
generally be around 20% in the valleys and 30s in the mountains with
good overnight recoveries.
AZZ150-301415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
143 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11150 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 knots shifting to the west
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (122650 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9440 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (84960 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
33 to 43 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-301415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
143 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph increasing to around
15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9975 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 10 knots shifting to the
southeast 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (129675 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9420 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 7 knots shifting to the
southwest 10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (94200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68 to
78. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
45 to 55 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-301415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
143 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph increasing to
east around 20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............10658 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (170528 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10703 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117733 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
40 to 50 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-301415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
143 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 15 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13763 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (220208 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9682 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the
southwest 14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (135548 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
33 to 43 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
39 to 49 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-301415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
143 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............13889 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 13 knots shifting to the
southeast 14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (194446 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11651 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (104859 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 63 to
73. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 74 to 84. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
55 to 65 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 76 to 86. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 80 to 90.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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