Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
246
FNUS55 KTWC 121915
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1214 PM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Scattered to numerous showers and isolated to
scattered thunderstorms are expected through Monday. Drier
conditions start to move in on Tuesday with dry conditions area wide
Wednesday into next weekend. Minimum RH values will be at least 35+
percent in the valley`s through Tuesday, with higher values in the
mountains. Min RH values lower into the 18-25 percent range in the
valleys the second half of the week. 20-foot sustained wind speeds
will be 15 mph or less this week, with occasional gusts to 20-25
mph. High temperatures will be below normal into this weekend.
AZZ150-131415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1214 PM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............6367 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 25 to 33 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (210111 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............7281 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 22 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (189306 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 70 to 80. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 75 to 85.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-131415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1214 PM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............3846 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (96150 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 35 mph decreasing to around
25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5845 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 18 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (128590 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 72 to 82. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 67 to 77. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 68 to 78. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 70 to 80.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 74 to 84.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-131415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1214 PM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............2803 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (53257 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct). Slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6513 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (130260 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 74 to 84. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 68 to 78. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 67 to 77. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 69 to 79.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 72 to 82.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-131415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1214 PM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............89 to 99 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............3766 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (75320 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6437 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 21 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (154488 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 64 to 74. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 58 to 68. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 58 to 68. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 62 to 72.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 64 to 74.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-131415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1214 PM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............90 to 100 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5877 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 18 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120478 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct). Slight chance
or showers east.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............7441 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 21 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167422 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 59 to 69. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 58 to 68. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 60 to 70.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 63 to 73.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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