


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
904 FNUS55 KTWC 041210 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 510 AM MST Fri Jul 4 2025 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Slightly below normal temperatures today, then warming back this weekend into next week. Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into this evening mainly south and southeast of Tucson. A decrease in thunderstorm activity is expected this weekend as the area transitions into a low grade monsoon pattern. An eventual uptick in monsoon activity is possible the middle of next week but will be dependent on how quick the high pressure aloft shifts north. Winds generally light and under 15 mph with the exception of gusty and erratic winds up to 35-45 mph near any thunderstorms. AZZ150-042300- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 510 AM MST Fri Jul 4 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg. * Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............7901 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........Southwest 12 to 19 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (150119 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............7834 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the west 8 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (62672 knot-ft). .Forecast days 3 through 7...... Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 12 to 21 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 102 to 112. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 100 to 110. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-042300- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 510 AM MST Fri Jul 4 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * Chance of Thunder........30 pct. * Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............6045 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Good (66495 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............6114 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........Northwest 9 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Good (67254 knot-ft). .Forecast days 3 through 7...... Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 94 to 104. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-042300- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 510 AM MST Fri Jul 4 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph. * Mixing height............8604 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........West 12 to 14 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120456 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct). * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Chance of Thunder........0 pct. * Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 pct). * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Chance of Thunder........0 pct. * Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs. * Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............10484 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 13 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136292 knot-ft). .Forecast days 3 through 7...... Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 97 to 107. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-042300- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 510 AM MST Fri Jul 4 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming partly cloudy (20-30 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Chance of Thunder........10 pct. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs. * Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph. * Mixing height............8348 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........West 13 to 14 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (116872 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct). * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Chance of Thunder........0 pct. * Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Chance of Thunder........10 pct. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Mixing height............9016 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........North 11 knots shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (99176 knot-ft). .Forecast days 3 through 7...... Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 88 to 98. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 87 to 97. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-042300- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 510 AM MST Fri Jul 4 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * Chance of Thunder........30 pct. * Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............8782 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........West 9 to 12 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (92211 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs. * Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * Chance of Thunder........20 pct. * Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs. 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs. * Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct. 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Mixing height............10776 ft AGL. * Transport winds..........Northwest 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (118536 knot-ft). .Forecast days 3 through 7...... Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 86 to 96. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 86 to 96. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson