Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
574
FNUS55 KTWC 302205
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
305 PM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Hot today with minimum relative humidities from 10
to 20 percent. There is enough mid level moisture for isolated to
scattered mainly dry thunderstorms especially across Cochise, Graham
and Greenlee Counties this afternoon and this evening. These will
produce gusty outflow winds up to around 50 mph. As additional
moisture moves in Tuesday, min RH`s increase to 15 to 30 percent
with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms for most of
southeast Arizona. There will be an increase in wetting rain under
the storm cores Tuesday compared to today. Even higher moisture
levels move in for Wednesday and Thursday when some of the
thunderstorms have the potential for locally heavy rain. Some drying
will tend to lower thunderstorm chances to around 20 to 40 percent
Friday into the weekend. Winds generally light and under 15 mph
with isolated gusts up to around 50 mph in/near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-011415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
305 PM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............14353 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (272707 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9160 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (146560 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 96 to 106.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-011415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
305 PM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............12994 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (246886 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8763 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the
southwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (96393 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 91 to 101.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-011415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
305 PM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8396 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 18 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (176316 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7713 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115695 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 84 to 94. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 86 to 96. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 89 to 99. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 93 to 103.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-011415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
305 PM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 23 to 27 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8687 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 14 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156366 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7195 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the
southwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (79145 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
31 to 41 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 77 to 87.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-011415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
305 PM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. East 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10977 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 16 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (197586 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8156 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 15 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (81560 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
37 to 47 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 75 to 85. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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