Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
970
FNUS55 KTWC 021019
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
319 AM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Near to slightly below normal temperatures through
Saturday as deeper atmospheric moisture moves into Southeast
Arizona, then warming back up Sunday into early next week. Expect
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into
evening with locally heavy rainfall. Shower and thunderstorm chances
persist Thursday, then some drying will tend to lower thunderstorm
chances to around 15 to 30 percent Friday into the weekend with the
highest chances along the Int`l border. Winds generally light and
under 15 mph with the exception of gusty and erratic winds up to 35-
45 mph near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
319 AM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10889 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (185113 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10288 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (205760 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 94 to 104. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 99 to 109. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 100 to 110.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
319 AM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9054 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (126756 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7261 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 knots shifting to the west 13
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (94393 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
319 AM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7528 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 15 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (127976 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7216 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108240 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 90 to 100.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
319 AM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7981 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (135677 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8035 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (112490 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 79 to 89.
West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 86 to 96. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
319 AM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9074 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (127036 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8847 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97317 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 76 to 86. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 84 to 94.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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