Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
454 FNUS55 KTWC 071043 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 343 AM MST Fri Feb 7 2025 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION... Breezy west to southwest winds of 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph expected today south and east of Tucson. Temperatures will remain well above normal for early February through the weekend with minimum relative humidity values of 8 to 14 percent. These dry conditions are expected to remain through the weekend with slightly higher values in far western Pima county. Heading into next week, breezy to windy conditions are expected, especially Tuesday and Wednesday as a dry weather system moves across the state. During this timeframe there appears to be increasing potential for critical to near critical fire weather conditions primarily to the south and east of Tucson. AZZ150-072215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 343 AM MST Fri Feb 7 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............3962 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 7 knots shifting to the northwest 8 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Fair (31696 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........42 to 52 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............4857 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the west 8 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Fair (38856 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 70 to 80. South wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 63 to 73. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 56 to 66. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 61 to 71. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-072215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 343 AM MST Fri Feb 7 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............4136 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the west 16 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (66176 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........38 to 48 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............5019 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the southwest 15 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (75285 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 18 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 65 to 75. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 22 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 52 to 62. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 58 to 68. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-072215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 343 AM MST Fri Feb 7 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 35 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............4614 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 7 knots increasing to west 17 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (78438 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........36 to 46 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............5805 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 to 17 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (98685 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 70 to 80. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 65 to 75. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 23 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 18 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 28 to 38. Highs 53 to 63. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 25 to 35. Highs 56 to 66. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-072215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 343 AM MST Fri Feb 7 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............7 to 15 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 35 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............3425 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 knots increasing to west 24 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (82200 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........34 to 44 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 35 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........60 to 70 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............11 to 18 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............4366 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 knots increasing to west 23 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100418 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 58 to 68. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 18 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 53 to 63. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 47 to 57. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 23 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows 24 to 34. Highs 40 to 50. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows 21 to 31. Highs 44 to 54. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-072215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 343 AM MST Fri Feb 7 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............6678 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 to 20 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103509 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........64 to 74 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............8215 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 12 to 20 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131440 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 62 to 72. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 56 to 66. Southwest wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 44 to 54. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 26 to 36. Highs 49 to 59. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson