Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
019 FNUS55 KTWC 302136 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 236 PM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Relatively deep moisture will stick around through the forecast period. Scattered ton numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. The upcoming week will see daily chances of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Strong and erratic gusty winds of 40 mph or higher can be expected with any storm development, along with locally brief heavy rainfall. Outside of thunderstorm winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the occasional gust of 20 mph. Min RHs will generally be around 20% in the valleys and 30s in the mountains with good overnight recoveries. AZZ150-011415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 236 PM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............9137 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the south 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109644 knot-ft). .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10142 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 7 to 10 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (101420 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-011415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 236 PM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............76 to 86 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............9325 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the south 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (111900 knot-ft). .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10171 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the southwest 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (101710 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-011415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 236 PM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............7963 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 10 knots shifting to the south 13 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103519 knot-ft). .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............7671 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the southwest 9 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (69039 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 92 to 102. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-011415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 236 PM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8933 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the southwest 14 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125062 knot-ft). .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10646 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 9 knots shifting to the southwest 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117106 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 12 to 20 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 82 to 92. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-011415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 236 PM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............11026 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the south 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132312 knot-ft). .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............12148 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the southwest 9 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109332 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 43 to 53 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson