Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
761
FXUS65 KTWC 060940
AFDTWC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
240 AM MST Sun Apr 6 2025
.SYNOPSIS...This week will see a strong ridge of high pressure
move into the area. This will bring a significant warm-up in
afternoon temperatures through next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny day under northerly flow aloft with
highs today 3 to 7 degrees warmer than Saturday.
Main theme for the upcoming work week will be the significant
warm-up that will take place under building high pressure aloft
leading to record or near record highs Thursday and Friday.
Latest NBM probabilities for Tucson seeing the first triple-digit
high of 2025 on Friday is 49%. The earliest first triple-digit
high date on record for Tucson is April 19 (1989).
&&
.AVIATION...Valid through 07/12Z.
SCT 7k-10k ft AGL E of KSAD-KDUG line til 07/00z otrw SKC elsw.
SFC winds ELY 8-15 kts until 06/19z then NWLY 8-12 kts thru 07/03z
then terrain driven less than 8 kts thru end of valid pd.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions and warming temperatures will be
the story this week as a strong ridge of high pressure builds over
the area. Daily SFC winds will see afternoon gustiness.
&&
.CLIMATE...The first five days of April have been rather cool with
the average temperature for Tucson being 57.8 degrees which is the
coolest first five days of April since 2004. Record or near
record high temperatures are forecast Thursday and Friday.
Date Apr 10 Apr 11
FCST RCD/YR FCST RCD/YR
Tucson Intl Airport 97 97/2023 99 99/2023
Ajo 99 101/1989 100 100/2023
Kitt Peak 79 77/1989 82 79/1989
Organ Pipe Cactus 99 99/2023 100 99/2023
Picacho Peak 95 100/2023 97 100/2023
Safford Ag Station 95 95/1989 96 95/2023
Sierra Vista 89 89/1989 91 89/2018
Tombstone 89 90/1960 91 91/2018
Willcox 90 90/1972 92 91/1946
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
$$
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