Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
210 FOUS54 KTSA 161917 PFMTSA Point Forecast Matrices National Weather Service Tulsa OK 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 OKZ060-162100- Tulsa-Tulsa OK 36.20N 95.90W Elev. 677 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 87 57 83 64 82 Temp 84 85 75 67 62 59 64 76 81 81 74 70 66 66 71 77 81 81 Dewpt 52 50 51 51 51 50 52 53 57 61 61 63 62 63 65 68 68 68 RH 33 30 43 56 67 72 65 45 44 51 64 78 87 90 81 74 65 65 Wind dir W W W S S N NE E E SE SE E E SE SE S S S Wind spd 10 9 4 3 3 5 6 9 9 10 9 6 6 8 10 13 16 14 Wind gust 20 28 25 Clouds CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 20 50 50 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0.16 0.25 Rain shwrs S C C C C S S C C Tstms S C C C C S C C Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 69 86 63 78 53 69 50 74 Temp 74 70 80 81 72 65 73 76 63 54 62 68 56 51 66 73 Dewpt 68 67 69 69 66 62 57 53 49 46 46 45 47 46 48 49 PWind dir S S S W NW NW N N Wind char GN BZ GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 50 60 40 30 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C S C L C C C Tstms C S C L C C $$ ARZ029-162100- Fort Smith-Sebastian AR 35.35N 94.39W Elev. 469 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 89 62 89 68 87 Temp 87 87 76 71 66 63 69 81 87 86 77 73 70 68 74 81 85 84 Dewpt 71 66 63 61 60 59 62 63 64 66 67 66 65 66 67 69 69 70 RH 59 50 64 71 81 87 78 54 46 51 71 79 84 93 79 67 59 63 Wind dir SW W W SW SW NE E E E SE S S SE E SE SE S SE Wind spd 16 11 4 1 1 1 2 2 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 10 11 11 Wind gust 21 Clouds SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B1 PoP 12hr 20 10 30 50 50 QPF 12hr 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.13 Rain shwrs S C C C C C S S C C Tstms S C C C C S S C C Heat index 92 91 Max heat 93 90 91 Tornado A A Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 70 88 69 83 58 72 52 77 Temp 75 71 82 83 74 70 78 79 67 59 67 70 58 53 68 75 Dewpt 68 68 70 70 67 67 66 60 56 52 49 48 49 48 49 50 PWind dir SE S S SW NW NW NW NW Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 40 60 40 40 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C S C L C C C Tstms C S C C C C C $$ OKZ073-162100- McAlester-Pittsburg OK 34.90N 95.78W Elev. 770 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 88 61 86 68 85 Temp 87 86 73 66 63 61 70 81 84 83 74 71 70 69 74 79 83 83 Dewpt 62 59 59 57 57 58 64 67 69 68 68 66 65 66 68 70 70 70 RH 43 40 62 73 81 90 81 63 61 61 82 84 84 90 82 74 65 65 Wind dir W W NW SE S SE E E SE SE SE S S S S S S S Wind spd 11 8 1 1 1 2 2 5 8 9 8 6 5 6 9 11 13 12 Wind gust 21 23 26 24 Clouds FW FW FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B2 B1 SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 PoP 12hr 5 0 40 40 30 QPF 12hr 0 0 0.22 0.06 0.10 Rain shwrs C C C C C C C C Tstms C C C C S S C C Heat index 90 Max heat 90 Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 70 84 65 80 55 72 50 75 Temp 74 71 78 80 71 67 76 78 64 56 66 70 56 51 68 74 Dewpt 67 67 69 69 65 64 61 56 53 48 48 48 49 47 48 50 PWind dir S S S W NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN LT GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 SC B1 B2 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 30 50 50 30 30 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C C C C C C Tstms C C C C C $$ OKZ055-162100- Bartlesville-Washington OK 36.75N 95.97W Elev. 711 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 85 51 80 60 81 Temp 84 83 69 62 56 52 61 74 79 79 68 65 63 62 68 75 79 79 Dewpt 51 49 50 48 47 45 49 50 53 56 60 61 60 61 64 68 69 69 RH 32 31 51 60 72 77 65 43 41 45 76 87 90 97 87 79 72 72 Wind dir W W W W NW N NE NE E E E E E E SE SE S S Wind spd 12 8 2 1 1 2 3 6 6 6 5 3 3 4 8 10 12 11 Wind gust 20 25 23 Clouds CL CL CL CL FW CL FW SC B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 10 60 60 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0.23 0.19 Rain shwrs C C L L C C L L Tstms C C C C S C L Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 66 84 59 76 49 67 46 72 Temp 71 67 80 80 68 61 71 73 58 51 61 66 52 47 66 71 Dewpt 68 66 69 69 65 59 57 53 48 44 46 45 46 45 49 51 PWind dir S S S NW NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW PoP 12hr 60 40 60 50 30 10 5 5 Rain shwrs C S C L C C C Tstms C S C L C C S $$ ARZ010-162100- Fayetteville-Washington AR 36.01N 94.17W Elev. 1251 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 85 55 85 63 82 Temp 83 82 68 62 58 55 62 77 82 82 72 67 65 64 71 78 81 81 Dewpt 63 59 56 52 49 48 53 55 58 61 62 62 61 62 65 67 67 67 RH 51 46 65 70 72 77 72 47 44 49 71 84 87 93 81 69 63 63 Wind dir W W W SW SW N NE E SE SE SE S E E SE S S S Wind spd 16 10 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 5 4 4 3 3 5 10 11 10 Wind gust 27 23 23 Clouds SC FW CL FW FW FW SC SC FW B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 20 5 20 60 60 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0.34 0.12 Rain shwrs S S C C L L C C L L Tstms S S C C C C S S C C Tornado A A Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 67 84 63 78 52 67 46 72 Temp 72 68 79 79 70 65 74 74 61 53 62 65 52 47 66 71 Dewpt 66 65 68 68 65 63 63 57 53 47 47 46 46 44 47 49 PWind dir S S S SW NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 SC SC B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC FW FW PoP 12hr 60 50 70 50 50 5 5 5 Rain shwrs L C C L C C C Tstms L S C L C C C $$ ARZ002-162100- Berryville-Carroll AR 36.36N 93.56W Elev. 1296 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 86 56 84 61 82 Temp 84 80 69 64 60 57 63 76 82 82 73 67 64 62 67 75 80 78 Dewpt 65 60 54 51 49 48 50 53 56 60 60 60 60 61 63 65 66 67 RH 53 51 59 63 67 72 62 45 41 47 64 78 87 97 87 71 62 69 Wind dir W W W SW SW NW N NW SE E SE E E SE SE SE S S Wind spd 17 11 5 4 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 2 3 4 6 9 9 Wind gust 27 17 20 20 Clouds SC FW CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 30 5 10 60 60 QPF 12hr 0.02 0 0 0.20 0.26 Rain shwrs C C C L L L L L L Tstms C C C C C S S C C Tornado A A Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 66 84 65 78 54 64 47 70 Temp 71 67 81 78 72 67 74 74 62 55 60 62 53 48 64 69 Dewpt 66 65 69 68 65 64 65 60 54 49 49 48 46 45 46 48 PWind dir S S S SW W NW NW NW Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 B1 SC B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 SC SC FW FW PoP 12hr 60 40 70 60 60 10 10 5 Rain shwrs L C C L L C L S Tstms L S C C C C C S $$ OKZ070-162100- Muskogee-Muskogee OK 35.66N 95.36W Elev. 611 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 86 58 85 64 82 Temp 83 84 71 66 61 59 66 77 84 83 74 69 66 66 71 77 81 81 Dewpt 58 57 58 56 55 55 59 60 64 68 68 66 64 65 67 70 70 70 RH 43 40 63 70 81 87 78 56 51 61 82 90 93 97 87 79 69 69 Wind dir W W NW S SE NE NE NE SE SE S S SE SE SE S S S Wind spd 11 6 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 9 11 12 11 Wind gust 21 24 21 Clouds FW CL CL FW SC SC SC SC B1 B2 B1 SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 30 50 50 QPF 12hr 0 0 0.01 0.23 0.39 Rain shwrs S C C C C C S S C C Tstms S C C C C S S C C Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 67 83 64 77 54 68 49 71 Temp 71 69 79 79 71 66 73 76 63 55 62 67 55 50 65 71 Dewpt 68 67 70 70 67 65 62 57 53 48 48 48 49 47 49 51 PWind dir S S S W NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 SC SC B2 B1 B1 B1 SC FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 50 60 40 30 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C S C L C C C Tstms C S C L C C S $$ OKZ058-162100- Miami-Ottawa OK 36.90N 94.86W Elev. 808 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 83 53 80 61 81 Temp 81 81 69 62 57 55 62 73 79 79 70 66 63 62 67 75 79 79 Dewpt 56 54 52 50 49 47 49 51 55 58 59 60 60 60 63 67 69 68 RH 42 39 55 65 75 74 62 46 44 49 68 81 90 93 87 76 72 69 Wind dir W W W SW N NE N NE E E E E E E SE SE S S Wind spd 13 9 5 4 3 2 3 4 4 5 5 4 5 5 6 9 11 10 Wind gust 21 21 Clouds FW CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 10 70 70 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0.34 0.28 Rain shwrs C L L L C C L L Tstms C L C C S C C L Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 66 83 63 75 52 65 47 71 Temp 71 67 80 78 70 65 73 73 60 53 61 64 53 48 65 70 Dewpt 67 66 70 69 66 64 61 57 51 46 48 47 46 46 48 51 PWind dir S S S W NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 SC FW FW FW PoP 12hr 70 60 70 50 50 10 5 5 Rain shwrs L C L L C C C Tstms L C C L C C S $$ OKZ066-162100- Henryetta-Okmulgee OK 35.44N 95.98W Elev. 849 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 87 59 85 66 82 Temp 84 85 72 66 63 60 68 79 84 82 74 70 67 68 73 79 81 81 Dewpt 54 52 54 53 53 54 59 63 66 68 68 66 65 66 68 70 70 70 RH 36 32 53 63 70 81 73 58 55 63 82 87 93 93 84 74 69 69 Wind dir W W NW S S NW NE E SE SE S S S SE S S S S Wind spd 9 5 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 9 11 12 11 Wind gust 23 21 Clouds FW FW CL FW SC FW SC SC B2 B1 SC SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 30 40 40 QPF 12hr 0 0 0.13 0.08 0.09 Rain shwrs S C C C C C S S C C Tstms S C C C C S S C C Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 68 83 64 78 54 69 48 73 Temp 73 69 79 79 71 66 73 76 63 55 64 68 55 49 66 72 Dewpt 68 67 69 69 66 64 58 54 50 47 47 48 48 46 49 50 PWind dir S S S W NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN LT GN LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 50 50 30 20 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C C C C C S Tstms C C C C C $$ OKZ053-162100- Hugo-Choctaw OK 34.02N 95.52W Elev. 572 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 87 65 86 68 83 Temp 84 85 75 71 67 65 72 80 84 82 75 72 70 69 73 78 82 82 Dewpt 72 69 67 66 64 64 69 71 72 71 69 68 67 68 69 72 72 72 RH 67 59 76 84 90 97 90 74 67 69 82 87 90 97 87 82 72 72 Wind dir SW W SW SW S E SE SE S SE SE SE S SE S S S S Wind spd 11 6 3 2 2 3 4 6 6 8 6 6 5 5 6 10 11 10 Wind gust 21 21 20 Clouds B1 SC SC SC B1 B2 B1 B2 B2 B1 SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 PoP 12hr 30 30 50 50 30 QPF 12hr 0.03 0.01 0.30 0.10 0.09 Rain shwrs S C C C C C S S C C Tstms S C C C C C S C C Heat index 91 90 Max heat 91 91 Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 69 84 68 81 57 72 52 74 Temp 74 70 78 80 73 69 77 78 67 58 67 71 58 53 68 73 Dewpt 68 68 71 70 68 68 66 59 56 51 51 50 50 48 51 52 PWind dir S S S SW NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN LT GN LT LT Avg clouds B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 30 50 50 30 30 5 5 5 Rain shwrs S C C C C C Tstms S C C C C S $$ OKZ060-162100- Jenks-Tulsa OK 36.04N 95.98W Elev. 638 ft 216 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Date Fri 05/16/25 Sat 05/17/25 Sun 05/18/25 CDT 3hrly 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 UTC 3hrly 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 Max/Min 87 57 84 64 83 Temp 84 85 75 66 61 59 64 75 82 84 74 69 66 66 71 78 82 82 Dewpt 53 52 53 53 52 51 54 55 61 65 65 66 64 64 66 69 70 69 RH 34 32 46 63 72 75 70 50 49 53 74 90 93 93 84 74 67 65 Wind dir NW W NW S S N NE E E SE SE E E SE SE S S S Wind spd 8 6 2 2 2 3 5 6 8 8 5 5 4 5 8 10 12 11 Wind gust 19 20 25 23 Clouds CL CL CL FW SC FW SC SC SC B2 SC B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 20 50 50 QPF 12hr 0 0 0.01 0.13 0.45 Rain shwrs S C C C C S S C C Tstms S C C C C S C C Date Mon 05/19/25 Tue 05/20/25 Wed 05/21/25 Thu 05/22/25 CDT 6hrly 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 UTC 6hrly 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 05 11 17 23 Min/Max 69 86 64 78 54 69 50 73 Temp 74 70 81 82 73 66 73 77 63 55 64 68 57 51 66 72 Dewpt 68 67 71 70 68 64 59 55 51 47 47 47 48 47 49 51 PWind dir S S S W NW NW N N Wind char GN GN GN GN GN GN LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC B1 SC SC B1 SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 50 60 40 20 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C S C L C C S Tstms C S C L C C $$