


Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
153 FOUS54 KTSA 281257 PFMTSA Point Forecast Matrices National Weather Service Tulsa OK 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 OKZ060-282100- Tulsa-Tulsa OK 36.20N 95.90W Elev. 677 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 72 65 75 65 82 Temp 67 69 72 70 69 68 67 67 68 72 74 74 71 69 66 66 73 78 81 79 Dewpt 65 67 68 67 67 66 65 65 66 67 68 67 67 66 65 65 66 66 66 66 RH 93 93 87 90 93 93 93 93 93 84 82 79 87 90 97 97 79 67 60 64 Wind dir E SE E E E E NE NE E E E E E E NE NE E E E E Wind spd 9 11 10 10 9 8 6 6 6 8 8 6 5 3 2 3 4 5 5 5 Clouds OV OV B2 B2 OV B2 OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 B1 B2 B2 B1 B2 B1 SC PoP 12hr 100 40 20 10 10 QPF 12hr 1.26 0.11 0.02 0 0 Rain shwrs D L C C C C C S S Tstms C L C S S S Flood A Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 66 84 65 84 64 85 64 85 Temp 71 67 81 80 70 65 81 80 70 65 80 81 70 65 82 81 Dewpt 66 63 66 65 65 63 65 65 65 63 65 64 64 62 65 64 PWind dir E E E SE NE NW NW W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 10 $$ ARZ029-282100- Fort Smith-Sebastian AR 35.35N 94.39W Elev. 469 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 68 66 76 66 84 Temp 67 67 68 67 69 68 68 67 69 71 74 74 71 69 68 66 73 79 83 81 Dewpt 64 65 66 66 66 67 67 67 66 66 67 66 66 67 67 66 66 66 65 66 RH 90 93 93 97 90 97 97100 90 84 79 76 84 93 97100 79 64 55 60 Wind dir E E E E E E E E E E E E E NE NE NE E E E E Wind spd 10 10 11 10 10 9 9 8 9 10 9 8 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 5 Clouds OV OV OV B2 OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC PoP 12hr 90 70 30 10 10 QPF 12hr 1.12 0.51 0.09 0 0 Rain shwrs D D L L L L L C C Tstms C D L C C C S C Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 66 86 65 87 65 88 66 88 Temp 71 68 82 82 71 66 83 82 71 66 83 83 71 66 83 83 Dewpt 66 64 64 65 65 64 63 64 65 64 65 64 65 65 64 63 PWind dir E E E NE NE NW NW NW Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 5 10 5 10 10 10 5 10 $$ OKZ073-282100- McAlester-Pittsburg OK 34.90N 95.78W Elev. 770 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 78 67 76 65 80 Temp 74 78 74 72 70 70 69 68 70 73 76 74 70 68 67 66 73 77 80 78 Dewpt 70 73 72 72 70 69 69 68 70 71 71 71 69 68 67 66 69 69 68 69 RH 87 85 93100100 97100100100 93 85 90 97100100100 87 76 67 74 Wind dir S SE SE E E E NE NE E NE NE NE E E NE NE NE E E E Wind spd 8 8 6 5 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 2 2 1 2 3 5 5 3 Clouds B1 B2 B2 B1 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 SC PoP 12hr 90 80 40 20 20 QPF 12hr 0.93 0.29 0.09 0 0 Rain shwrs L D L L D L L C C S S S S S S S S S S Tstms C D L C C C S S S S Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 66 84 65 86 64 87 63 87 Temp 69 67 81 79 68 65 82 79 67 65 82 80 68 65 83 80 Dewpt 68 66 67 68 66 65 67 68 66 64 67 68 66 64 66 68 PWind dir E E NE NE SE W E W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B2 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW PoP 12hr 10 20 5 10 10 10 5 10 Rain shwrs S Tstms S $$ OKZ055-282100- Bartlesville-Washington OK 36.75N 95.97W Elev. 711 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 71 60 76 60 82 Temp 67 69 71 71 66 64 63 63 67 72 75 73 66 64 63 63 72 79 81 78 Dewpt 65 67 68 66 66 64 63 63 65 67 68 67 66 64 62 63 66 66 66 66 RH 93 93 90 84100100100100 93 84 79 81100100 97100 81 64 60 67 Wind dir SE SE E E E NE NE NE E E E E E NE NE NE E E E E Wind spd 8 9 8 8 5 3 2 3 5 5 5 3 1 1 1 1 2 5 4 2 Clouds OV B2 B2 B1 B2 OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 SC SC PoP 12hr 100 30 10 10 10 QPF 12hr 1.73 0.07 0 0 0 Rain shwrs D L C C C S C Tstms C C C Flood A Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 61 84 60 84 60 84 59 85 Temp 64 63 81 78 64 62 81 77 64 63 81 78 63 62 81 78 Dewpt 64 62 66 66 64 61 66 65 64 62 65 65 63 60 66 64 PWind dir E E E W N N NW W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW SC PoP 12hr 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 Rain shwrs S S Tstms S S $$ ARZ010-282100- Fayetteville-Washington AR 36.01N 94.17W Elev. 1251 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 70 61 74 60 82 Temp 64 65 69 68 64 64 63 63 67 71 74 73 66 64 62 62 71 79 81 78 Dewpt 63 63 64 63 64 64 63 63 65 66 66 65 66 64 62 61 64 65 64 64 RH 97 93 84 84100100100100 93 84 76 76100100100 97 79 62 56 62 Wind dir SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E Wind spd 9 10 10 6 5 3 3 3 5 6 6 5 2 1 1 1 4 6 6 4 Clouds OV OV B2 OV OV OV B2 OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC PoP 12hr 90 50 20 10 10 QPF 12hr 2.17 0.33 0.04 0 0 Rain shwrs D D C C C C C S S Tstms C L C C S S S S Flood A Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 60 83 60 83 59 83 60 84 Temp 64 63 79 78 64 62 79 77 64 62 79 78 63 62 80 78 Dewpt 63 60 64 63 62 59 63 63 62 59 64 63 62 60 64 63 PWind dir E E E W S W SW W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 5 10 5 10 10 10 10 10 $$ ARZ002-282100- Berryville-Carroll AR 36.36N 93.56W Elev. 1296 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 69 61 74 59 82 Temp 64 66 69 67 64 63 62 61 65 70 73 70 66 63 61 60 69 78 80 76 Dewpt 63 66 66 65 64 63 62 61 65 66 66 65 64 62 61 60 64 64 63 64 RH 97100 90 93100100100100100 87 79 84 93 97100100 84 62 56 66 Wind dir SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E Wind spd 6 6 8 8 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 5 2 1 1 2 4 5 5 3 Wind gust 16 Clouds OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC SC SC FW SC B1 SC PoP 12hr 100 40 20 10 10 QPF 12hr 2.69 0.07 0.02 0 0 Rain shwrs D D C C C C C S S Tstms C C C S S Flood A Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 61 83 60 83 61 83 60 84 Temp 66 62 79 76 65 61 79 75 66 62 79 75 65 61 80 76 Dewpt 61 58 62 64 60 58 62 65 62 60 64 65 63 60 64 64 PWind dir E E E SE SW W SW W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW SC FW FW PoP 12hr 5 10 5 10 10 20 10 20 Rain shwrs S S Tstms S S $$ OKZ070-282100- Muskogee-Muskogee OK 35.66N 95.36W Elev. 611 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 68 65 74 64 81 Temp 67 68 68 68 67 67 67 66 68 70 72 73 68 67 66 66 72 76 79 79 Dewpt 65 68 68 68 67 67 67 66 68 69 69 69 68 67 66 65 68 68 68 68 RH 93100100100100100100100100 97 90 87100100100 97 87 76 69 69 Wind dir E E SE E E E E NE E E E E E E NE E E E E E Wind spd 10 10 10 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 2 2 2 4 5 4 3 Clouds B2 OV OV B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC PoP 12hr 90 60 30 10 10 QPF 12hr 0.68 0.24 0.04 0 0 Rain shwrs D D C C L L C C C Tstms L L C C C C S S Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 64 84 64 84 63 85 63 86 Temp 68 65 80 79 68 65 81 80 67 65 81 81 68 64 82 81 Dewpt 66 65 67 68 66 65 67 68 66 65 68 68 66 64 66 67 PWind dir E E E NE NE NW N NW Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 5 10 5 10 10 5 5 10 $$ OKZ058-282100- Miami-Ottawa OK 36.90N 94.86W Elev. 808 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 72 62 77 61 82 Temp 66 68 72 71 66 65 64 63 68 73 76 74 67 65 63 62 71 79 81 78 Dewpt 65 68 68 67 66 64 64 63 66 68 68 68 66 65 63 62 66 65 65 68 RH 97100 87 87100 97100100 93 84 76 82 97100100100 84 62 58 71 Wind dir SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E E E E E E SE E E Wind spd 8 9 9 8 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 4 5 5 3 Clouds OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC PoP 12hr 100 30 10 10 10 QPF 12hr 1.54 0.03 0 0 0 Rain shwrs D L C S S C S Tstms C C Flood A Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 62 84 61 83 61 83 60 84 Temp 65 63 80 78 66 62 80 78 65 62 79 78 65 61 80 78 Dewpt 64 61 65 67 64 61 65 67 64 62 66 68 64 61 66 66 PWind dir E SE E SW SE NW NE W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 5 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 Rain shwrs S Tstms S $$ OKZ066-282100- Henryetta-Okmulgee OK 35.44N 95.98W Elev. 849 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 72 65 74 64 80 Temp 69 71 72 70 69 67 67 67 69 72 74 72 69 68 66 66 73 76 80 77 Dewpt 69 71 72 70 69 67 67 67 69 71 71 69 69 67 66 66 69 69 68 68 RH 100100100100100100100100100 97 90 90100 97100100 87 79 67 74 Wind dir SE E E E E E E NE E NE NE NE E E NE NE E E E E Wind spd 6 6 6 5 5 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 2 2 2 2 4 5 4 2 Clouds B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV B1 B2 B1 SC PoP 12hr 90 60 30 10 10 QPF 12hr 0.65 0.19 0.04 0 0 Rain shwrs D D C L L L C C C Tstms C L C C C S S S Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 64 83 63 84 62 86 62 85 Temp 67 65 80 78 67 65 81 79 66 63 82 80 66 63 83 79 Dewpt 67 65 67 68 67 65 67 68 66 63 68 68 66 63 67 67 PWind dir E E NE N SW NW SE W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B2 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC PoP 12hr 10 10 5 10 10 10 5 10 $$ OKZ053-282100- Hugo-Choctaw OK 34.02N 95.52W Elev. 572 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 86 68 78 67 80 Temp 76 84 86 76 72 71 70 70 72 73 76 74 71 69 69 69 72 76 79 77 Dewpt 70 73 73 72 72 71 70 70 71 72 71 70 71 69 69 68 69 70 69 69 RH 82 70 65 87100100100100 97 97 85 87100100100 97 90 82 72 76 Wind dir S S N SE E E E E E E NE NE E NE NE NE NE E E E Wind spd 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 Clouds B1 B1 B2 B1 B2 B2 OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV B2 B1 B2 SC PoP 12hr 80 80 60 30 20 QPF 12hr 0.81 0.86 0.15 0.17 0.02 Rain shwrs C L D L L D L L L C C C C C C S S S S Tstms C L D C C C C C S S C Heat index 90 93 Max heat 90 93 Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 67 82 65 84 64 86 65 87 Temp 69 68 79 79 69 65 82 80 69 65 82 82 69 65 83 81 Dewpt 69 67 69 68 68 65 67 68 67 65 67 66 67 65 65 66 PWind dir E E NE NE NE NW N NW Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW PoP 12hr 10 20 5 5 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs S Tstms S $$ OKZ060-282100- Jenks-Tulsa OK 36.04N 95.98W Elev. 638 ft 756 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Date Thu 08/28/25 Fri 08/29/25 Sat 08/30/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 71 65 74 65 79 Temp 68 69 71 70 69 68 67 67 69 71 74 73 70 69 67 66 71 76 79 78 Dewpt 67 69 71 70 69 68 67 67 69 71 72 71 70 69 67 66 69 70 71 70 RH 97100100100100100100100100100 93 93100100100100 93 82 77 76 Wind dir E SE E E E E E NE E E NE E E E NE NE E E E E Wind spd 8 9 9 8 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 3 Clouds OV B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B2 OV B1 B1 B1 SC PoP 12hr 100 50 20 10 10 QPF 12hr 0.91 0.11 0.02 0 0 Rain shwrs D L C C C C C S S Tstms C L C C S S Flood A Date Sun 08/31/25 Mon 09/01/25 Tue 09/02/25 Wed 09/03/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 66 83 65 84 65 85 64 85 Temp 69 66 80 79 69 66 81 79 69 65 81 81 69 65 82 81 Dewpt 68 66 70 69 68 65 69 69 67 65 70 69 67 64 69 69 PWind dir E E NE N NW NW NW W Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 10 $$