Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
325 FLUS44 KTSA 160956 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 456 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 456 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected through tonight. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential... Heavy Rain Potential. SUNDAY...No Hazards. MONDAY and TUESDAY...High Wind Potential. WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A strong upper level system is expected to translate from the western states into the Plains Friday through Saturday. The associated cold front is expected to move through eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Low level moisture will increase ahead of the weather system Friday and Friday night, setting the stage for multiple rounds of thunderstorms across the area Friday night and Saturday. The first round of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern Oklahoma late Friday night. These storms should develop over portions of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma Friday afternoon and evening, and move toward our area overnight. Some of this activity will persist into Saturday morning, with another round of thunderstorms expected to develop along and ahead of the approaching cold front on Saturday. Strong wind fields will exist over the area and the amount of instability that is able to develop will be dependent on the amount of clouds and lingering rain from the earlier activity. Even though uncertainties exist with this scenario, there is potential for severe weather across far eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas Saturday. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$ 69