Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
079 FLUS44 KTSA 150955 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 455 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 455 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected through tonight. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. THURSDAY...No Hazards. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. SUNDAY...No Hazards. MONDAY...High Wind Potential. TUESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Mid and upper level ridging will remain over the south central U.S. through Thursday, resulting in fair, but unseasonably warm weather. By late this week, a strong upper level disturbance and associated surface cold front will shift from the western states into the Plains. Thunderstorm chances will increase across eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas late Friday, with a couple rounds of thunderstorms possible through Saturday night across the area. The combination of atmospheric instability and wind shear will support a severe weather threat late Friday through Saturday, with the greatest risk on Saturday, when those parameters are expected to be strongest. High pressure will build into the Southern Plains on Sunday behind the cold front, returning fair weather to the region with more seasonal temperatures. Gusty southerly wind returns to the area Monday and Tuesday ahead of the next weather system, which will result in a warming trend ealry next week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$ 69