


Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
328 FLUS44 KTSA 170353 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1053 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 1053 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected through tonight. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. SUNDAY...No Hazards. MONDAY...High Wind Potential. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A strong upper level system is expected to translate from the western states into the Plains Friday through Saturday. The associated cold front is will move through eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Low level moisture will increase ahead of the weather system Friday and Friday night, setting the stage for multiple rounds of thunderstorms across the area Friday night and Saturday. The first round of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern Oklahoma late Friday night. These storms will develop over portions of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma Friday afternoon and evening, and move toward our area overnight. Some of this activity will persist into Saturday morning and may reintensify as it encounters more unstable air. Additional thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of the approaching cold front through the day Saturday. Strong wind fields will exist over the area and the amount of instability that is able to develop will be dependent on the amount of clouds and lingering rain-cooled air from the morning activity. Even though uncertainties exist with the forecast this far out, the potential for all forms of severe weather will exist, especially across eastern Oklahoma into northwestern Arkansas through the day Saturday. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$