Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 170353
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1053 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1053 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level system is expected to translate from the
western states into the Plains Friday through Saturday. The
associated cold front is will move through eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Low level moisture will
increase ahead of the weather system Friday and Friday night,
setting the stage for multiple rounds of thunderstorms across the
area Friday night and Saturday. The first round of strong to
potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern
Oklahoma late Friday night. These storms will develop over
portions of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma Friday afternoon and
evening, and move toward our area overnight. Some of this
activity will persist into Saturday morning and may reintensify
as it encounters more unstable air. Additional thunderstorms are
expected to develop along and ahead of the approaching cold front
through the day Saturday. Strong wind fields will exist over the
area and the amount of instability that is able to develop will be
dependent on the amount of clouds and lingering rain-cooled air
from the morning activity. Even though uncertainties exist with
the forecast this far out, the potential for all forms of severe
weather will exist, especially across eastern Oklahoma into
northwestern Arkansas through the day Saturday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$