229
FNUS74 KTSA 160917
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for McIlroy Madison-Ginsburg...Arkansas Game and Fish Commission
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
417 AM CDT Wed Apr 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light winds are forecast to become southerly as we move through the
morning with gusts approaching 20 mph late in the morning and into
the afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Dewpoint............34 increasing to 43.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph with
                    gusts to around 18 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 22 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (46557 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (83278 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).69.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   4   9   8   5   7   10  21  14  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  52  60  63  66  69  71  72  72  72
Dewpoint........33  36  36  36  36  36  38  40  43  44
RH..............59  53  42  36  33  29  31  32  35  36
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  12  14  14  16  16  17  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   13  15  17  17  17  17  18  20  22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..49  49  49  49  49  83  83  83  83  83
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).65  66  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Dewpoint............46 increasing to 50 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 8 mph with gusts to around 19
                    mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (83278 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (9180 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).71.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  15  13  24  25  26  25  36  40  54  44  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............72  70  67  64  63  63  63  63  62  61  61  61
Dewpoint........45  46  46  46  47  47  48  48  48  48  48  50
RH..............38  42  47  52  56  56  58  58  61  62  62  67
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  19  19  19
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.22  16  16  15  16  16  17  16  17  18  18  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).74  74  74  73  72  71  71  71  70  70  70  69

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............53 increasing to 58 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 32 mph
                    increasing to 36 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 23 mph increasing to 28 to 33 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9180 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (106229 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).72 increasing to 79 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  30  12  10  3   4   8   12  11  10  9   14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  59  61  63  68  71  74  76  78  79  80  80
Dewpoint........51  53  54  55  57  58  59  59  59  59  59  59
RH..............72  79  78  75  68  64  59  56  53  51  50  50
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  11  12  13  14  14  14  13  13
20 FT wind gust.19  22  21  21  26  28  28  28  29  29  29  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.3 2.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  20  23  28  32  33  33  33  33  33  33  31
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  89  89  89  89  89  89  106 106 106 106 106
Ventrate Cat....PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).69  69  68  68  68  70  73  76  78  79  80  80

$$
Forecaster...SONDAG
Requested by...Michael D Gregory
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510572.0/TSA
.DELDT 04/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.gregory@agfc.ar.gov