192
FNUS74 KTSA 121424
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Cory Dutton...USFWS
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
924 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High temperature today near 80 degrees with south-southwest winds
10-15 mph gusting near 20 mph this afternoon. Minimum relative
humidity values near 25-35% this afternoon. Clear skies transition
to mostly cloudy by late afternoon/ evening. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms this evening/ early tonight... primarily between
6-10PM. Storms may produce strong, erratic winds. Dry conditions
overnight with light winds. Low temperature near 50 degrees.
Partly cloudy skies Thursday with high temperature near 80 degrees
and winds 5-15 mph. Minimum relative humidity values 30-40%
Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Dewpoint............48.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (45901 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (78032 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).70 increasing to 80 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  23  34  53  51  69  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  74  78  81  83  83  83
Dewpoint........47  48  49  48  48  48  48
RH..............46  40  36  32  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.11  12  13  13  13  13  11
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.8 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.5 4.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  18  20  21  20  20  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..46  46  78  78  78  78  78
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).68  73  78  81  83  83  81

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............52.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph shifting to the southeast 5
                    to 7 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (78032 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4590 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).72 decreasing to 66 after 3 am.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93  91  91  76  70  57  37  34  27  28  26  28
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH
Temp............82  78  73  69  66  64  61  59  58  56  55  53
Dewpoint........50  53  54  54  54  54  54  54  53  53  53  52
RH..............33  42  51  59  65  70  78  83  83  90  93  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.17  15  14  13  12  9   9   9   8   6   7   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..78  9   9   9   9   9   9   5   5   5   5   5
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).77  73  71  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  67  66

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Dewpoint............52 decreasing to 49 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 7 mph shifting to the south 7 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4590 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (22295 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).66 increasing to 76 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  30  37  36  33  23  27  28  19  17  14  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  51  52  54  59  63  69  73  76  78  79  79
Dewpoint........51  51  51  53  53  54  54  53  50  50  49  49
RH..............96  100 96  96  80  72  59  49  40  37  35  35
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        2   2       4   5   6   6   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   3   6   6   7   6   7   9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   9   9   9   9   9   9   22  22  22  22  22
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).66  65  63  63  63  66  69  73  76  78  79  79

$$
Forecaster...M.RADA
Requested by...Cory Dutton
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506172.0/TSA
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cory_dutton@fws.gov