700
FNUS74 KTSA 020758
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Joint_Burn...AGFC
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
158 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on December 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Mild and dry weather is forecast for Wednesday with afternoon
humidity values falling into the mid 50 percent range.
A cold front will pass the burn site during the afternoon.
Southerly winds will persist ahead of the front before
turning west and then northwest as the cold front passes.
The forecast is currently dry through the frontal passage.
Excellent humidity recovery is expected Wednesday night.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Dewpoint............28 increasing to 33 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph shifting to the west 7 to 8
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32131 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).47.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  17  18  19  29  38  48  55  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  41  45  47  49  50  49  48  47
Dewpoint........30  32  33  34  35  35  35  35  35
RH..............75  70  63  60  58  56  58  60  63
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.6 1.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  16  15  13  10  8   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  32  32  43  43  43  43  43  43
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
1700FT Mix T(F).48  47  46  46  46  47  47  47  47

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............33 decreasing to 24.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north 12
                    to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18360 knot-ft).
Stability class.....6.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).41 decreasing to 31 overnight.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  68  67  65  72  79  86  86  86  86  84  83
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  42  39  36  35  34  33  31  29  28  25  24
Dewpoint........35  35  34  34  34  33  32  31  29  28  25  24
RH..............70  76  82  92  96  96  96  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  11  12  12  13  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.6   7   9   12  13  14  15  15  14  14  14  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18  18  18  18  18  18  25  25  25  25  25  25
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).46  45  44  42  40  39  37  35  34  32  30  28

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Dewpoint............23.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the morning and
                    early afternoon becoming light.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15081 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).28 increasing to 34 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  74  68  61  53  45  37  40  42  45  43  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............23  23  24  26  28  31  34  36  37  38  37  35
Dewpoint........23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23
RH..............100 100 96  88  81  72  64  59  56  54  56  61
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  12  11  10  10  10  8   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  13  12  9   8   7   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).26  25  24  24  25  28  30  32  34  35  35  35

$$
Forecaster...J.MCGAVOCK
Requested by...Bailey Coffelt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526808.0/TSA
.DELDT 12/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bailey.coffelt@agfc.ar.gov