213
FNUS74 KTSA 011555
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Clayton Y...Choctaw Nation Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1055 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on October 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through the burn site by early this
afternoon, with an increase in northerly wind speeds and gusts
expected behind it. The front will also usher in lower dew points,
with minimum relative humidities this afternoon from 30 to 35
percent. The impact of the cold front should be short-lived, with
southerly winds returning during the day tomorrow. Dew points will
be slow to return, which will lead to afternoon relative
humidities tomorrow around 25 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Dewpoint............61 decreasing to 53.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    north 8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 16 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (73442 knot-ft).
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).81 increasing to 86 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   3   3   1   0   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  81  83  85  86  86  85
Dewpoint........63  61  60  59  58  56  53
RH..............58  51  45  42  39  36  33
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.14  13  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.7 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.0 4.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  17  16  16  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..73  73  81  81  81  81  81
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).77  81  85  86  87  86  85

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Dewpoint............45.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west around 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6557 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (16393 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).71 increasing to 83 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  3   1   3   2   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  52  55  60  67  72  76  80  83  85  86  85
Dewpoint........43  43  43  44  45  45  46  46  46  46  46  47
RH..............66  71  64  55  45  38  33  30  27  25  25  26
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.0 3.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  S   SW  W   W   W   NW  W
Transp wind spd.7   6   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   15  15  15  15  15  15  16  16  16  16  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).71  70  68  67  67  70  75  80  83  85  86  86

$$
Forecaster...K.HATFIELD
Requested by...Sam McFarland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423358.0/TSA
.DELDT 10/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL smcfarland@choctawnation.com