Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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087
FNUS54 KTSA 151702
FWFTSA

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

RED FLAG...NONE.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will increase Friday night into Saturday as a strong
weather system crosses the area. Odds favor northwest Arkansas for
the heaviest amounts, but measurable rainfall is possible across
the area.


OKZ049-053-160930-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   56           85           62           86
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   85           34           89           41
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  7
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 5232                      6045
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         S 13         SE  8        S 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   77           76           78           76
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            1730         0            2439
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            4
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ070-071-073>075-160930-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   56           86           62           87
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   90           34           82           41
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  9
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 5109                      6119
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  9         S 14         SE 10        S 16
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   76           76           78           76
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            1883         0            2705
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ001-160930-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   56           81           62           83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   92           42           80           49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  7
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     E  5         SE  7        SE  5        S  9
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    159          3784         167          5982
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  9         SE 14        S 12         S 16
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   72           71           75           75
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      175          1430         210          2712
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ002-160930-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   56           81           59           82
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   93           43           86           50
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  5        S  8
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    4            4037         4            6205
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  7         SE 15        SE  9        S 14
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   71           70           74           74
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      4            1707         6            2429
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            4
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ010-160930-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   55           81           61           83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   89           41           77           46
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  7
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9        SE  6        S  9
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    1            3412         1            5885
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SE 15        S 12         S 16
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   70           70           73           74
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      1            1313         1            2646
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ011-160930-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   56           80           61           81
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   87           44           79           53
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  6
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  5        S  8
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 3469                      5767
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SE 15        SE 13        S 16
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   68           67           71           72
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            1412         0            2329
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            4
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

ARZ019-160930-
Crawford-
Including the city of Van Buren
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   58           82           63           85
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   84           43           75           45
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  E  7                      SE  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     E  5         SE  9        E  6         S  8
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    1            3969         1            6508
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE  7        SE 14        E 12         S 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   73           73           76           76
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      1            1638         2            2529
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ020-160930-
Franklin-
Including the cities of Ozark and Charleston
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   57           84           62           88
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   88           44           79           45
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  E  7                      SE  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     E  5         SE  8        E  6         S  8
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 3911                      6776
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SE 14        E 10         S 14
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   73           73           76           77
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            1520         0            2575
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ029-160930-
Sebastian-
Including the city of Fort Smith
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   57           86           64           87
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   92           37           78           40
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  E  6                      SE  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     E  5         SE  7        SE  5        S  9
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 4916                      6822
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SE 14        SE  9        S 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   75           75           79           78
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            1648         0            2676
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around
70. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ058-063-068-069-072-160930-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
and Sallisaw
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   57           83           62           85
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   91           38           78           42
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  6
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        S  8
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    1            4274         1            5924
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         S 15         SE 14        S 17
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   74           73           77           76
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      1            1773         2            3036
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-160930-
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
and Wagoner
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   57           85           62           87
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   90           33           82           40
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        SE  6        S 12
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    134          4785         143          6379
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE 12        S 16         S 14         S 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   75           75           77           76
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      211          2110         247          3142
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ076-160930-
Le Flore-
Including the city of Poteau
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   55           85           61           86
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   91           35           81           40
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  E  5                      SE  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     E  5         SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 4978                      6275
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SE 14        SE  8        S 16
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   75           75           78           76
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            1774         0            2817
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            4            1            5
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around
5 mph.

$$