015
FXUS64 KTSA 061046
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
546 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 541 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

  - Main-stem river and some areal flooding continues across
    eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas from the heavy rains
    the past few days.

  - Rain may mix with or briefly change over to snow this morning
    across northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas. Little
    to no accumulation is expected, and travel impacts are not
    expected.

  - A freeze is expected in many areas Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

The main upper level storm system will continue to move east
across Oklahoma this morning while it weakens. Rain has changed to
snow across parts of southwest into central Oklahoma early this
morning, with some minor accumulations on mainly grassy surfaces.
This trend of rain mixing with or changing to snow will likely
continue into northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas this
morning, but with a weakening upper system, little or no snow
accumulation is expected, and travel is not expected to be
impacted.

Skies will begin to clear across northeast Oklahoma later this
afternoon, with afternoon high temperatures ranging from the mid
40s to lower 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Clearing skies and light winds will allow temperatures tonight to
fall to near or slightly below freezing in most places. A freeze
watch has been issued for the entire forecast area as a result.

Dry and warmer weather returns Monday and persists through the
rest of the forecast period. A weak cold front Thursday may knock
temperatures back a few degrees, but overall temperatures will be
near or above the seasonal averages for much of the upcoming week
with little or no chance for significant rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

MVFR to IFR conditions are expected this morning across SE OK and
NW AR sites while VFR to MVFR conditions are likely across NE OK.
Rain showers, potentially mixing with or transitioning to snow,
will continue across the region this morning before ending from
west to east early this afternoon. Brief vsby reductions are
possible in heavier precip. Cigs climb this afternoon and all
sites likely become VFR by late evening. North winds persist
today before becoming light or calm overnight tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  32  67  39 /  50   0   0   0
FSM   51  33  65  40 /  40   0   0   0
MLC   50  30  65  39 /  30   0   0   0
BVO   53  28  66  33 /  40   0   0   0
FYV   48  28  63  33 /  50   0   0   0
BYV   46  30  62  35 /  60   0   0   0
MKO   51  30  66  38 /  50   0   0   0
MIO   49  29  63  35 /  60   0   0   0
F10   51  30  66  37 /  40   0   0   0
HHW   49  33  64  38 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for OKZ049-
     053>076.

AR...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for ARZ001-
     002-010-011-019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...43