536
FXUS64 KTSA 070842
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
242 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 132 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

Patchy fog will be possible through mid-morning in the valleys
of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Temperatures are
forecast to be near to slightly above normal for this time
of year as weak high pressure prevails over the area.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 132 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

The chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected to ramp
up late tonight and continue into Saturday morning as an upper
level low currently wobbling across the Southwest lifts northeast
into the Plains. Rainfall amounts of 1/2 to 2 inches will be common
across the area with locally higher amounts possible. While locally
heavy rain will be the main concern, a few storms could become strong
to marginally severe.

High pressure builds into the region behind the departing storm system
Sunday into early next week with a gradual warming trend taking shape.

The chances of showers and a few thunderstorms return mid-week
as the next cold front sweeps through the area.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1042 PM CST Wed Nov 6 2024

Low clouds starting to develop across portions of northwest Arkansas
late this evening and this trend will likely continue overnight into
Thursday morning.  Still the potential for a period of patchy dense
fog late tonight, primarily at KFYV. Elsewhere across aforementioned
area, lower stratus/sc will also be possible through mid morning
before cloud deck lifts/scatters out with mainly VFR conditions Thursday
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  51  65  53 /   0  10  30  90
FSM   72  55  69  57 /   0  10  20  80
MLC   72  56  68  53 /   0  20  40  90
BVO   63  45  65  50 /   0  20  30  90
FYV   69  47  69  53 /   0   0  10  80
BYV   64  46  63  52 /   0   0  10  60
MKO   69  54  67  54 /   0  10  30  90
MIO   62  45  65  52 /   0   0  10  80
F10   68  52  65  52 /   0  20  40  90
HHW   73  57  68  57 /   0  10  60  90

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...12