814
FNUS73 KTOP 261237
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Burgess...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
737 AM CDT Wed Mar 26 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on March 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be light and variable for the next few hours, though
primarily out of the east. Winds become more pronounced out of the
southeast late morning and into the afternoon, peaking around 10
mph. Winds stay 5-10 mph overnight and gradually become more
southerly. Relative humidity drops to around 35 percent by noon
and 25 percent mid afternoon. Mixing steadily improves throughout
the day, helping smoke dispersal.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................82 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4400 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /55600 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  47  54  58  62  65  68  71  72  73
RH..............82  69  52  46  36  31  28  26  27  27
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.    12  13  13  14  13  13  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.3
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   12  15  25  34  37  49  53  56

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    south 8 to 9 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
Temp............71     65     59     55     54     53
RH..............30     40     52     58     69     84
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..10     8      7      7      8      9
20 FT wind gust.14     13     14     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   500    500    500    500    500
SDspl kt-ft/100036     6      7      7      8      7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Temperature.........Max 82.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 10 to 19 mph. Gusts up to 33 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (92300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (80400
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30        30        30        30
Temp............54        59        71        80
RH..............88        87        64        47
20 FT wind dir..S         S         S         S
20 FT wind spd..10        13        17        17
20 FT wind gust.15        26        27        25
Mix hgt (ft)....600       800       2000      3700
SDspl kt-ft/10009         14        49        92

$$
Forecaster...Reese
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2507978.0/TOP
.DELDT 03/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov