137
FNUS73 KTOP 221347
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Gilligans Prairie...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
847 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire danger will be low today. Minimum relative humidity values in the
area of the prescribed burn will be around 40 percent this afternoon,
with south winds ranging from 10 to 20 mph. Wind gusts to 25 mph will
be possible. A few thunderstorms will be possible by the evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........67 at ignition...Max 79.
RH..................61 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4800 ft
                    AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /27900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /100900 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............67  71  74  76  77  79  79  79
RH..............61  53  46  43  42  41  41  42
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  13  16  17  16  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.22  23  23  25  23  23  23  22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.3 4.8 3.9
SDspl kt-ft/100028  37  54  70  78  91  101 79

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Temperature.........Min 55.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (49300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     30     40     40     40     20
Temp............77     71     65     61     60     58
RH..............47     59     73     84     84     90
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..13     9      8      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.21     16     14     12     13     11
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   500    500    500    500    400
SDspl kt-ft/100049     8      6      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the
                    morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
                    day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 7 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30        30        30        60
Temp............55        61        70        75
RH..............96        84        68        60
20 FT wind dir..SE        S         SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..7         7         9         10
20 FT wind gust.9         15        16        15
Mix hgt (ft)....400       700       2200      3900
SDspl kt-ft/10005         10        31        55

$$
Forecaster...Teefey
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511312.0/TOP
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov