452
FNUS73 KTOP 251438
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Baldwin Park Burn...LOCAL/COUNTY OFFICIAL
National Weather Service Topeka KS
838 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Light south winds this morning below 5 mph, increasing from 10 to 15 mph
sustained from the southwest after 1 PM through 6 PM.  Occasional gusts to
20 mph are possible. With the forecast highs in the low 70s, minimum humidity
values are on track to fall from 25 to 30 percent after 2 PM. This evening,
there is a  slight chance for rain showers after 11 PM along a cold front.
Winds shift with the front to the northwest at or below 10 mph around 1 AM.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........41 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 6 to 12 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2700 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /45900 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  48  53  59  63  66  68  69  68
RH..............67  55  47  40  33  31  30  31  32
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..2   4   6   7   10  11  12  11  9
20 FT wind gust.3   5   8   12  14  18  19  18  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.1 0.8
SDspl kt-ft/10002   6   12  20  31  40  46  36  11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 8 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8800 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............65  62  60  58  57  56  54  52  50  49  47  46
RH..............38  42  46  50  52  54  56  58  60  60  62  60
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  14  15  14  13  11  9   8   9   15  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
SDspl kt-ft/10009   10  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  9   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 57.
RH..................Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (106200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  44  45  48  50  53  55  56  56  57  56  55
RH..............61  63  57  52  47  43  38  37  35  34  36  37
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   10  11  12  13  13  13  13  12  9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  25  25  23  23  23  23  23  22  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.8 3.4 2.1
SDspl kt-ft/10008   9   10  21  44  62  78  90  101 106 64  29

$$
Forecaster...Prieto
Requested by...Doug Russell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503799.0/TOP
.DELDT 02/25/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL drussell@rileycountyks.gov