Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS
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842 FXUS63 KTOP 101057 AFDTOP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 457 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Low chances for minor precipitation over the next week (mainly Saturday night and Monday night) - Below-normal temperatures continue into next week && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 306 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 Light snow continues this morning, generally along and south of the I-35 corridor. Snow will fully exit the area over the next four hours or so. This snow is mainly driven by upper-level forcing and a nicely saturated dendritic growth zone, but a weak surface front is also pushing through. This has led to widespread and overall light snowfall, with occasional bands of more moderate snowfall developing along the front. Before the snow pushes off to the south and east, another half to one inch may fall across portions of Lyon, Osage, Douglas, Coffey, Franklin and Anderson Counties. With cloud cover slow to erode and the recent snowfall, temperatures may struggle to get to near freezing today. Temperatures are favored to remain below- normal through the middle of next week with highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Another upper-level wave and associated cold front will move across the Plains Saturday night into Sunday. This could bring another round of a light wintry mix. Models are in good agreement on light amounts, with generally only a few hundredths of liquid forecast. Some models have a layer aloft that is slightly above freezing, which could lead to some freezing rain or sleet mixing in with snow. So even though amounts are expected to be light, there could be some impacts with this round of precipitation Saturday night. Another wave moves through very quickly Monday night, but there is low confidence at this time (~10%) that we see any measurable precipitation with this wave. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 457 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 Snow has ended at all terminals. VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period with cloud cover eroding from west to east through the morning. && .TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for KSZ026-KSZ035-KSZ036-KSZ037-KSZ038-KSZ039-KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055- KSZ056-KSZ058-KSZ059. && $$ DISCUSSION...Jones AVIATION...Jones