545
FXUS63 KTOP 031951
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
151 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy northwest winds into tonight.

- Mainly dry with near-normal temperatures for the remainder of the
  forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 151 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Precipitation was slowly ending over the area this afternoon as the
upper low makes northeast progress out of the state. Plenty of cloud
and northwest winds behind it and this should be the rule through at
least the evening with some falling temps likely this afternoon on
reasonable cold-air advection. A modest blocking regime aloft pushes
the low on north tonight into Wednesday with northwest winds
continuing for a cooler day. Weakening upper energy from the west
splits under a modest high to its north and moves east into the
southern and central Plains Wednesday night into Thursday. This
brings modest precipitation chances to the local area with an 80-90
percent chance of dry conditions remaining. The split upper flow
pattern continues into early next week with rather benign conditions
and near normal temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1132 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

MVFR conditions dominate this forecast with isolated to scattered
showers for at least a few more hours before the storm system pulls
away. Cold frontal passage occurs soon after 18Z at TOP and FOE with
all stations seeing gusty northwest winds through at least 02Z.
Conditions improve with weakening winds and likely VFR conditions by
the end of this forecast though confidence in timing of these
improvements is not high for either element.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Poage
AVIATION...Poage