Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT
723
FNUS75 KTFX 030756
FWSTFX
Spot Forecast for Wilder...BLM
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
156 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Widely scattered showers or virga and a perhaps a few lightning
strikes may move in from the southwest through the early morning
hours. Drier conditions are expected for much of the day, but
another round of showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon
and evening, generally between 1500 and 2100 local time. The
Primary threat with any storm activity will be be gusty and
erratic winds and there is around a 50% chance for wind gusts
exceeding 35 mph should storms move over the area. Otherwise,
expect winds to become northwesterly today with gusts up to around
20 mph through the early afternoon hours.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...Increasing to 20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-95.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph, strongest through
early afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the late afternoon.
Ridgetop...........West 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest 15
to 20 mph late in the morning, then becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42 38 35 36 30 41 40 35 54 43 55 75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
Temp............67 69 71 76 80 84 87 88 90 90 90 91
RH..............63 59 53 46 39 32 26 24 23 21 21 21
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W
20 FT wind spd..5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Ridge wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
Ridge wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 5.5 6.0 7.0 7.0 8.0 7.0
Transp wind dir.W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
Transp wind spd.10 15 15 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly to partly cloudy (45-80 percent)
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
Max humidity........54-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop...........West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
around 20 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west
after 3 am.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75 89 92 93 90 91 86 69 50 65 71 70
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............90 88 85 81 77 75 73 71 70 68 66 66
RH..............22 25 31 36 41 44 48 51 54 56 58 60
20 FT wind dir..W W SW SW SW W W NW NW W W W
20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Ridge wind dir..W W SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW
Ridge wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 20
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW W SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.10 15 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 15
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds around 10 mph becoming
north in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Ridgetop...........Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming north to
northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast
late in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66 66 66 47 47 47 44 44 44 56 56 56
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20
Temp............64 67 69 71 74 77 80 82 83 83 84 83
RH..............59 56 51 46 41 36 32 30 29 29 28 28
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Ridge wind dir..NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE E
Ridge wind spd..20 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.0 5.5 6.5 7.0 7.5 7.5 7.0
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW N NE NE NE E
Transp wind spd.15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
$$
Forecaster...Greely
Requested by...Lewistown dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517193.0/TFX
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtlec@firenet.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov